Washington Wizards – Milwaukee Bucks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 31 December 2025

WAS114–113MIL

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 91% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 17 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIL winsWAS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIL leads and falls when WAS does.

This is how the game was decided.

Alex Sarr decided it, the Washington Wizards player with the most points (20, with 11 rebounds and 2 assists; -5 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was AJ Johnson's (+14). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Milwaukee Bucks 113-114 Washington Wizards (December 31, 2025) was hit by CJ McCollum: a jump shot with 1.2 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Washington Wizards up 114-113. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Milwaukee Bucks 113-114 Washington Wizards (December 31, 2025) was a 10-0 run by the Washington Wizards in the second quarter (from 8:19 to 6:44), from 36-42 to 46-42. The Milwaukee Bucks' best was a 8-0 run in the third quarter (from 7:42 to 5:52), from 68-75 to 76-75.

What were the keys of the last Milwaukee Bucks vs Washington Wizards game?

▸See where these figures come from

Play: CJ McCollum makes 16-foot pullup jump shot.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

CJ McCollum decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 1.2 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 4 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games McCollum decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

31 December 2025 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401810324:651; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · WAS

McCollum · Sarr · Coulibaly · Middleton · Champagnie

Closing lineup · MIL

Rollins · Porter · Green · Antetokounmpo · Kuzma

Q1Q2Q3Q4

WAS

CJ McCollum

32′ · -13

Alex Sarr

28′ · -5

Tre Johnson

28′ · -5

Bilal Coulibaly

25′ · +4

Khris Middleton

23′ · -7

Justin Champagnie

33′ · +4

Bub Carrington

24′ · +6

Marvin Bagley III

20′ · +6

Will Riley

12′ · +1

AJ Johnson

16′ · +14

MIL

Ryan Rollins

39′ · +3

Kevin Porter Jr.

39′ · +10

AJ Green

34′ · +12

Myles Turner

31′ · +12

Giannis Antetokounmpo

28′ · -4

Kyle Kuzma

21′ · -5

Gary Trent Jr.

15′ · -12

Bobby Portis

20′ · -11

Gary Harris

11′ · -10

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. WAS and MIL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Washington Wizards

Coulibaly, Sarr, Johnson, Middleton, and McCollum played 14.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Bagley, Champagnie, Carrington, Johnson, and Riley played 8.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Champagnie, Sarr, Johnson, Middleton, and McCollum played 7.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Milwaukee Bucks

Turner, Porter, Rollins, Green, and Antetokounmpo played 17.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Portis, Kuzma, Trent, Porter, and Harris played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Turner, Kuzma, Porter, Rollins, and Green played 5.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Washington Wizards

Bagley, Champagnie, Coulibaly, Carrington, and Johnson played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Champagnie, Coulibaly, Sarr, Johnson, and McCollum played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Champagnie, Sarr, Carrington, Johnson, and McCollum played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Bagley, Champagnie, Carrington, Riley, and McCollum played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Sarr, Carrington, Johnson, Middleton, and McCollum played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Bagley, Champagnie, Coulibaly, Carrington, and McCollum played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Milwaukee Bucks

Portis, Porter, Rollins, Green, and Antetokounmpo played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Turner, Kuzma, Trent, Rollins, and Green played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Turner, Portis, Porter, Rollins, and Green played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Portis, Porter, Rollins, Antetokounmpo, and Harris played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Turner, Kuzma, Rollins, Green, and Antetokounmpo played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Portis, Kuzma, Trent, Rollins, and Antetokounmpo played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Portis, Kuzma, Trent, Rollins, and Harris played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Portis, Trent, Porter, Antetokounmpo, and Harris played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Portis, Trent, Rollins, Green, and Antetokounmpo played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

This is how the NBA's cameras measured the players in this game.

Kevin Porter Jr. touched the ball 83 times, a game high.
Kevin Porter Jr. made 61 passes, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Washington Wizards

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
CJ McCollum	4.17	7.2	70	52
Justin Champagnie	4.04	7.0	48	37
Alex Sarr	3.59	7.1	55	35
Tre Johnson	3.31	6.6	38	24
Bilal Coulibaly	3.15	7.1	52	36
Bub Carrington	2.99	7.0	60	43
Khris Middleton	2.70	6.7	30	24
Marvin Bagley III	2.43	6.9	28	19
AJ Johnson	2.06	7.4	19	13
Will Riley	1.56	7.5	19	15

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Kevin Porter Jr.	4.79	6.9	83	61
Ryan Rollins	4.79	6.9	71	53
AJ Green	4.33	7.2	48	40
Myles Turner	3.72	6.7	35	24
Giannis Antetokounmpo	3.27	6.5	80

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who guarded whom

Myles Turner guarded Alex Sarr for 7.4 minutes, over 37 possessions.
In that time, Alex Sarr scored 7 points and made 3 of 7 shots.
CJ McCollum guarded AJ Green for 7.1 minutes, over 32 possessions.
In that time, AJ Green scored 3 points and made 1 of 3 shots.
Alex Sarr guarded Myles Turner for 6.2 minutes, over 32 possessions.
In that time, Myles Turner scored 7 points and made 2 of 3 shots.

▸See all 28 matchups of two minutes or more

Washington Wizards defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
McCollum	Green	7.1	32	3 (1/3)
Sarr	Turner	6.2	32	7 (2/3)
Coulibaly	Antetokounmpo	6.2	28	7 (3/6)
Johnson	Rollins	5.4	26	0 (0/0)
Bagley	Portis	5.0	21	8 (2/6)
Riley	Trent	3.0	14	0 (0/2)
Champagnie	Porter	2.8	14	0 (0/1)
Champagnie	Kuzma	2.8	15	0 (0/0)
Carrington	Rollins	2.6	14	2 (0/1)
Middleton	Porter	2.6	14	2 (1/2)
Carrington	Porter	2.5	12	4 (2/3)
Middleton	Antetokounmpo	2.5	11	13 (3/5)
McCollum	Rollins	2.4	14	0 (0/1)
Johnson	Harris	2.2	10	3 (1/1)

Milwaukee Bucks defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Turner	Sarr	7.4	37	7 (3/7)
Green	Johnson	5.7	32	3 (1/3)
Rollins	McCollum	5.7	33	8 (3/6)
Antetokounmpo	Coulibaly	4.8	28	6 (1/3)
Portis	Bagley	4.8	24	2 (1/2)

Matchups come from the NBA's tracking (NBA.com) for this game: how long each defender guarded each attacker and what the attacker produced in that time. Only matchups of two minutes or more are shown.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2025-26 regular season, not this game.

Washington Wizards

Alex Sarr contested 9.4 shots per game over his 48 games.
He ranks 8 of 399 in the league.
Marvin Bagley III drew 0.12 charges per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 20 of 399 in the league.
Bilal Coulibaly deflected 3.1 passes per game over his 56 games.
He ranks 22 of 399 in the league.

Milwaukee Bucks

Kevin Porter Jr. recovered 1.0 loose balls per game over his 38 games.
He ranks 1 of 399 in the league.
Ryan Rollins deflected 4.0 passes per game over his 74 games.
He ranks 6 of 399 in the league.
Myles Turner contested 8.1 shots per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 19 of 399 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Milwaukee Bucks have won 118 of their 205 games against the Washington Wizards.

118-87record of the Milwaukee Bucks · NBA 1974-75 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-3in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1974-75 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

17.341

100% of capacity

Fiserv Forum · Milwaukee

Scoring

227

combined points

4.2 below the season average (231.2)