Toronto Raptors – Charlotte Hornets · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 7 January 2026

TOR97–96CHA

Is it worth watching?

The ESPN data for this game contradicts the official result, so it cannot be rated

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHA winsTOR wins ↓

The last point of this curve falls on CHA's side, but TOR won 97-96. It is an ESPN error at the close of the game: the curve is shown as it is and no conclusion is drawn from it.

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when TOR does.

This is how the game was decided.

RJ Barrett decided it, the Toronto Raptors player with the most points (28, with 7 rebounds and 1 assists; -1 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Sandro Mamukelashvili's (+10). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Charlotte Hornets 96-97 Toronto Raptors (January 7, 2026) was hit by Immanuel Quickley: a three-pointer with 0.0 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Toronto Raptors up 97-96. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Charlotte Hornets 96-97 Toronto Raptors (January 7, 2026) was a 13-0 run by the Toronto Raptors in the first quarter (from 7:31 to 4:50), from 6-14 to 19-14. The Charlotte Hornets' best was a 11-0 run in the second quarter (from 8:24 to 5:32), from 30-30 to 41-30.

What were the keys of the last Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors game?

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Immanuel Quickley makes 25-foot three point jumper (Sandro Mamukelashvili assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Immanuel Quickley decided this game: his points put his team ahead at the buzzer of the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is the only game he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Quickley decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

7 January 2026 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401810371:687; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · TOR

Barrett · Quickley · Barnes · Mamukelashvili · Shead

Closing lineup · CHA

Knueppel · Diabate · Bridges · James · Salaun

Q1Q2Q3Q4

TOR

RJ Barrett

35′ · -1

Immanuel Quickley

33′ · +3

Collin Murray-Boyles

32′ · +2

Scottie Barnes

29′ · -2

Brandon Ingram

11′ · -5

Sandro Mamukelashvili

25′ · +10

Jamal Shead

24′ · +8

Ja'Kobe Walter

19′ · +1

Gradey Dick

12′ · 0

Ochai Agbaji

12′ · -12

Jamison Battle

8′ · +1

CHA

Kon Knueppel

33′ · +3

Moussa Diabate

30′ · 0

Miles Bridges

30′ · +9

Sion James

28′ · 0

LaMelo Ball

25′ · +17

Collin Sexton

24′ · -3

Tidjane Salaun

21′ · -15

PJ Hall

15′ · +1

Josh Green

13′ · -15

Liam McNeeley

21′ · -2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. TOR and CHA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Toronto Raptors

Barrett, Quickley, Barnes, Walter, and Murray-Boyles played 8.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Ingram, Barrett, Quickley, Barnes, and Murray-Boyles played 5.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Barrett, Quickley, Mamukelashvili, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Charlotte Hornets

Bridges, Ball, Diabate, Knueppel, and James played 13.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Bridges, Ball, Diabate, McNeeley, and James played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Bridges, Sexton, Hall, Knueppel, and James played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Toronto Raptors

Agbaji, Mamukelashvili, Dick, Shead, and Battle played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Barrett, Quickley, Mamukelashvili, Walter, and Murray-Boyles played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Dick, Walter, and Shead played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Barrett, Quickley, Barnes, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Barrett, Quickley, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, and Dick played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Barrett, Quickley, Agbaji, Barnes, and Dick played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Ingram, Mamukelashvili, Walter, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Barrett, Agbaji, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, and Shead played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Barrett, Quickley, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, and Shead played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Ingram, Barrett, Quickley, Agbaji, and Murray-Boyles played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Agbaji, Walter, Shead, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Barnes, Walter, Shead, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

Charlotte Hornets

Bridges, Sexton, Ball, Diabate, and McNeeley played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Sexton, Green, Hall, Salaun, and Knueppel played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Ball, Diabate, Salaun, Knueppel, and McNeeley played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Sexton, Green, Hall, Salaun, and McNeeley played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Sexton, Green, Diabate, Salaun, and Knueppel played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Bridges, Sexton, Green, Salaun, and McNeeley played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Green, Hall, Salaun, Knueppel, and James played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Sexton, Hall, Salaun, Knueppel, and McNeeley played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Sexton, Diabate, Salaun, Knueppel, and McNeeley played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Bridges, Sexton, Diabate, McNeeley, and James played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Ball, Hall, Salaun, Knueppel, and James played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

RJ Barrett covered 4.31 km, more than anyone in the game.

Immanuel Quickley touched the ball 83 times, a game high.
Immanuel Quickley made 60 passes, a game high.
Collin Murray-Boyles defended 8 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 3.
Moussa Diabaté had 26 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Toronto Raptors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
RJ Barrett	4.31	6.9	73	44
Immanuel Quickley	4.10	6.9	83	60
Collin Murray-Boyles	3.96	6.9	46	41
Scottie Barnes	3.56	6.9	60	39
Sandro Mamukelashvili	2.90	6.5	32	24
Jamal Shead	2.59	5.9	44	36
Ja'Kobe Walter	2.53	7.3	20	16
Ochai Agbaji	1.59	7.5	17	12
Brandon Ingram	1.37	7.0	17	7
Gradey Dick	1.37	6.6	8	7
Jamison Battle	0.85	6.3	9	7

Charlotte Hornets

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Kon Knueppel	4.26	7.2	56	34
Moussa Diabaté	3.85	7.0	33	26
Sion James	3.36	6.8	35	28
Miles Bridges	3.33	6.3	51	40
LaMelo Ball	3.15	7.1	64

How far does RJ Barrett run per game?

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who guarded whom

Collin Murray-Boyles guarded Moussa Diabaté for 5.6 minutes, over 25 possessions.
In that time, Moussa Diabaté scored 0 points and made 0 of 1 shots.
Moussa Diabaté guarded Scottie Barnes for 4.6 minutes, over 19 possessions.
In that time, Scottie Barnes scored 4 points and made 1 of 5 shots.
Kon Knueppel guarded RJ Barrett for 4.0 minutes, over 18 possessions.
In that time, RJ Barrett scored 3 points and made 1 of 6 shots.

▸See all 20 matchups of two minutes or more

Toronto Raptors defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Murray-Boyles	Diabaté	5.6	25	0 (0/1)
Barrett	Bridges	3.6	14	5 (2/4)
Barnes	Knueppel	3.3	14	3 (1/2)
Dick	McNeeley	3.1	12	1 (0/2)
Quickley	Ball	3.0	15	0 (0/3)
Mamukelashvili	Salaün	2.6	12	0 (0/0)
Barrett	Knueppel	2.6	13	3 (1/3)
Barnes	Diabaté	2.5	12	6 (2/3)
Shead	Knueppel	2.0	9	2 (1/2)
Quickley	Sexton	2.0	9	7 (3/3)

Charlotte Hornets defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Diabaté	Barnes	4.6	19	4 (1/5)
Knueppel	Barrett	4.0	18	3 (1/6)
Diabaté	Murray-Boyles	2.9	16	0 (0/0)
McNeeley	Dick	2.7	11	0 (0/0)
Sexton	Shead	2.6	11	0 (0/1)

Matchups come from the NBA's tracking (NBA.com) for this game: how long each defender guarded each attacker and what the attacker produced in that time. Only matchups of two minutes or more are shown.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2025-26 regular season, not this game.

Toronto Raptors

Scottie Barnes deflected 3.2 passes per game over his 80 games.
He ranks 18 of 399 in the league.
Collin Murray-Boyles deflected 2.7 passes per game over his 57 games.
He ranks 38 of 399 in the league.
Ja'Kobe Walter drew 0.07 charges per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 47 of 399 in the league.

Charlotte Hornets

Moussa Diabaté contested 7.7 shots per game over his 73 games.
He ranks 25 of 399 in the league.
Kon Knueppel recovered 0.7 loose balls per game over his 81 games.
He ranks 31 of 399 in the league.
LaMelo Ball recovered 0.6 loose balls per game over his 69 games.
He ranks 61 of 399 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Charlotte Hornets have won 32 of their 77 games against the Toronto Raptors.

32-45record of the Charlotte Hornets · NBA 2004-05 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

2-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2004-05 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

17.337

90.9% of capacity

Spectrum Center · Charlotte

Scoring

193

combined points

38.2 below the season average (231.2)