SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 January 2026

PHI115–116TOR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 99% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 59 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsPHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when PHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · PHI

VJ Edgecombe
Tyrese Maxey
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Quentin Grimes
Adem Bona

Edgecombe · Maxey · Oubre · Grimes · Bona

Closing lineup · TOR

Scottie Barnes
Collin Murray-Boyles
Immanuel Quickley
Jamal Shead
Alijah Martin

Barnes · Murray-Boyles · Quickley · Shead · Martin

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1
PHI
VJ Edgecombe

VJ Edgecombe

45′ · -12

Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey

45′ · +17

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

34′ · -8

Dominick Barlow

Dominick Barlow

26′ · +2

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

20′ · -16

Quentin Grimes

Quentin Grimes

35′ · +4

Adem Bona

Adem Bona

33′ · +12

Jabari Walker

Jabari Walker

17′ · +9

Jared McCain

Jared McCain

9′ · -8

Trendon Watford

Trendon Watford

2′ · -5

TOR
Scottie Barnes

Scottie Barnes

43′ · +15

Collin Murray-Boyles

Collin Murray-Boyles

42′ · +5

Immanuel Quickley

Immanuel Quickley

40′ · +13

Jamal Shead

Jamal Shead

37′ · -13

Ja'Kobe Walter

Ja'Kobe Walter

5′ · +3

Alijah Martin

Alijah Martin

30′ · -8

Gradey Dick

Gradey Dick

11′ · -4

Sandro Mamukelashvili

Sandro Mamukelashvili

18′ · -17

Jamison Battle

Jamison Battle

15′ · +9

Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji

15′ · -2

A.J. Lawson

A.J. Lawson

10′ · +4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHI and TOR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Oubre, Maxey, Barlow, Edgecombe, and Drummond played 13.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Grimes, Maxey, Barlow, Bona, and Edgecombe played 8.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Bona, and Edgecombe played 6.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Toronto Raptors

  • Quickley, Barnes, Shead, Murray-Boyles, and Martin played 10.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Quickley, Agbaji, Barnes, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Quickley, Barnes, Walter, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Walker, and Bona played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Grimes, Walker, McCain, Edgecombe, and Drummond played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Grimes, Maxey, Walker, Bona, and McCain played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Oubre, Maxey, Barlow, Bona, and Edgecombe played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Grimes, Maxey, Walker, Bona, and Edgecombe played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Oubre, Maxey, Watford, Bona, and Edgecombe played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Oubre, Grimes, Walker, Bona, and Edgecombe played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Oubre, Grimes, McCain, Edgecombe, and Drummond played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Oubre, Grimes, Barlow, Edgecombe, and Drummond played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Toronto Raptors

  • Quickley, Barnes, Lawson, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Quickley, Agbaji, Barnes, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Dick, Shead, and Martin played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Quickley, Mamukelashvili, Dick, Murray-Boyles, and Martin played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Quickley, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Shead, and Martin played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Mamukelashvili, Lawson, Shead, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Shead, Battle, and Martin played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Barnes, Lawson, Shead, Battle, and Martin played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Quickley, Agbaji, Barnes, Dick, and Murray-Boyles played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Agbaji, Mamukelashvili, Dick, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Agbaji, Mamukelashvili, Shead, Murray-Boyles, and Martin played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Quickley, Barnes, Dick, Murray-Boyles, and Martin played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.130
91.6% of capacity
Scotiabank Arena · Toronto
Scoring
231
combined points
0.2 below the season average (231.2)