Win probability changed during the game. · 14 January 2026
It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when UTA does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · UTA
George · Williams · Filipowski · Bailey · Sensabaugh
Closing lineup · CHI
Okoro · Vucevic · White · Jones · Huerter
Keyonte George
34′ · +2
Cody Williams
31′ · -2
Kyle Filipowski
31′ · -8
Ace Bailey
31′ · +12
Isaiah Collier
22′ · -8
Brice Sensabaugh
34′ · -2
Walter Clayton Jr.
21′ · +3
Kyle Anderson
17′ · +6
Taylor Hendricks
19′ · -13
Isaac Okoro
34′ · 0
Nikola Vucevic
31′ · 0
Coby White
30′ · -11
Tre Jones
26′ · -11
Matas Buzelis
19′ · 0
Ayo Dosunmu
28′ · +8
Jalen Smith
17′ · +2
Patrick Williams
23′ · +9
Kevin Huerter
19′ · +11
Dalen Terry
13′ · +2
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. UTA and CHI.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Utah Jazz
George, Williams, Collier, Filipowski, and Bailey played 9.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Hendricks, Sensabaugh, Filipowski, Clayton, and Bailey played 8.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
George, Sensabaugh, Williams, Clayton, and Anderson played 5.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Chicago Bulls
White, Okoro, Jones, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Huerter, Williams, Smith, Dosunmu, and Terry played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
White, Okoro, Williams, Dosunmu, and Vucevic played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Utah Jazz
Hendricks, Sensabaugh, Clayton, Bailey, and Anderson played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
George, Sensabaugh, Williams, Filipowski, and Bailey played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Hendricks, George, Williams, Collier, and Filipowski played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
George, Sensabaugh, Williams, Collier, and Anderson played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
George, Sensabaugh, Williams, Collier, and Filipowski played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
George, Sensabaugh, Williams, Bailey, and Anderson played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Hendricks, George, Sensabaugh, Clayton, and Anderson played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Chicago Bulls
White, Okoro, Dosunmu, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
White, Okoro, Jones, Dosunmu, and Vucevic played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
White, Okoro, Williams, Jones, and Vucevic played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Huerter, White, Okoro, Jones, and Vucevic played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Huerter, Williams, Smith, Jones, and Terry played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Okoro, Jones, Terry, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Huerter, Okoro, Williams, Smith, and Dosunmu played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Huerter, Okoro, Williams, Dosunmu, and Vucevic played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
White, Jones, Terry, Buzelis, and Vucevic played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Williams, Smith, Jones, Dosunmu, and Buzelis played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Huerter, Smith, Dosunmu, Terry, and Buzelis played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Huerter, White, Williams, Smith, and Dosunmu played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Huerter, Williams, Smith, Jones, and Dosunmu played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
White, Smith, Dosunmu, Terry, and Buzelis played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
