Boston Celtics – Miami Heat · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 15 January 2026

BOS119–114MIA

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Recommended

It was more exciting than 73% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIA winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIA leads and falls when BOS does.

This is how the game was decided.

Anfernee Simons decided it, the Boston Celtics player with the most points (39, with 4 rebounds and 4 assists; +18 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Hugo González's (+19). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Miami Heat 114-119 Boston Celtics (January 15, 2026) was hit by Jaylen Brown: a three-pointer with 4:05 left in the fourth quarter, putting the Boston Celtics up 107-105. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Miami Heat 114-119 Boston Celtics (January 15, 2026) was a 15-0 run by the Miami Heat in the first quarter (from 10:36 to 7:38), from 3-4 to 18-4. The Boston Celtics' best was a 9-0 run in the second quarter (from 11:12 to 8:37), from 25-38 to 34-38.

With 39 points, this is Anfernee Simons's highest-scoring game of the 2025‑26 regular season.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Jaylen Brown makes 24-foot three point jumper (Sam Hauser assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

It is compared by points with all his official NBA box scores in that scope; it is the same criterion the Analyst uses.

This is how the two teams compared in passes and jump shots.

Boston made 281 passes and Miami made 281.
BOS 281281 MIA
Boston made 23 of 66 jump shots and Miami made 25 of 61.
BOS23/66
MIA25/61

Passes come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game: each team's total adds up its players' passes. Jump shots come from ESPN's play-by-play: every field-goal attempt ESPN logs as a jump shot counts, threes included.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

White · Brown · Hauser · Simons · Walsh

Closing lineup · MIA

Wiggins · Adebayo · Powell · Herro · Jakucionis

Q1Q2Q3Q4

BOS

Derrick White

36′ · +12

Jaylen Brown

30′ · -10

Sam Hauser

29′ · +1

Payton Pritchard

24′ · -20

Neemias Queta

20′ · -1

Anfernee Simons

34′ · +18

Jordan Walsh

20′ · +1

Luka Garza

28′ · +5

Hugo Gonzalez

14′ · +19

Baylor Scheierman

5′ · 0

MIA

Andrew Wiggins

35′ · +3

Bam Adebayo

33′ · +13

Norman Powell

32′ · +11

Tyler Herro

31′ · -11

Pelle Larsson

30′ · +1

Kasparas Jakucionis

27′ · -6

Nikola Jovic

15′ · -19

Kel'el Ware

9′ · -8

Dru Smith

12′ · -9

Simone Fontecchio

17′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and MIA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Hauser played 9.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 14 points.
Brown, Simons, Pritchard, Garza, and Walsh played 5.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Brown, White, Simons, Garza, and Hauser played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

Miami Heat

Powell, Adebayo, Herro, Larsson, and Wiggins played 9.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Powell, Adebayo, Fontecchio, Larsson, and Jakucionis played 6.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Powell, Adebayo, Fontecchio, Jakucionis, and Wiggins played 5.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

White, Simons, Queta, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 4.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
White, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Walsh played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
White, Simons, Pritchard, Garza, and Hauser played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Brown, White, Simons, Garza, and Gonzalez played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Brown, Simons, Queta, Scheierman, and Walsh played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
White, Simons, Garza, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Brown, Simons, Garza, Scheierman, and Walsh played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
White, Simons, Garza, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
White, Simons, Queta, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Brown, Simons, Queta, Pritchard, and Walsh played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Miami Heat

Powell, Adebayo, Herro, Jakucionis, and Wiggins played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Herro, Smith, Jovic, Larsson, and Ware played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Herro, Jovic, Fontecchio, Jakucionis, and Wiggins played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Herro, Smith, Jovic, Larsson, and Wiggins played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Powell, Adebayo, Jovic, Jakucionis, and Wiggins played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Herro, Smith, Larsson, Ware, and Wiggins played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Herro, Jovic, Larsson, Ware, and Jakucionis played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Adebayo, Herro, Larsson, Jakucionis, and Wiggins played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Powell, Adebayo, Smith, Fontecchio, and Wiggins played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Powell, Adebayo, Larsson, Jakucionis, and Wiggins played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Derrick White covered 4.38 km, more than anyone in the game.

Derrick White touched the ball 76 times, a game high.
Derrick White made 61 passes, a game high.
Andrew Wiggins had 19 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Boston Celtics

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Derrick White	4.38	6.7	76	61
Anfernee Simons	4.30	7.0	68	33
Sam Hauser	3.93	7.5	51	39
Jaylen Brown	3.70	6.9	66	30
Luka Garza	3.68	7.4	30	19
Payton Pritchard	2.93	6.9	59	52
Neemias Queta	2.54	7.3	22	15
Jordan Walsh	2.49	7.0	21	17
Hugo González	1.83	7.6	12	10
Baylor Scheierman	0.69	8.0	5	5

Miami Heat

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Andrew Wiggins	3.99	6.4	60	48
Bam Adebayo	3.97	6.7	50	29
Tyler Herro	3.91	7.0	52	33
Pelle Larsson	3.78	7.3	39	30
Norman Powell	3.65	6.4	44	23

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

This is how each team's plays were shared among its players.

Boston Celtics

Player	Min	Usage (%)
Derrick White	36:09	14.0
Anfernee Simons	34:19	37.9
Jaylen Brown	30:14	40.5
Sam Hauser	29:14	17.6
Luka Garza	28:00	14.3
Payton Pritchard	24:01	8.9
Jordan Walsh	19:49	3.7
Neemias Queta	19:45	17.0
Hugo González	13:31	6.1
Baylor Scheierman	4:58	0.0

Miami Heat

Player	Min	Usage (%)
Andrew Wiggins	34:51	15.2
Bam Adebayo	33:04	28.4
Norman Powell	31:47	23.9
Tyler Herro	30:59	20.5
Pelle Larsson	29:43	10.8
Kasparas Jakučionis	27:21	14.1
Simone Fontecchio	16:48	10.5
Nikola Jović	15:09	26.3
Dru Smith	11:30	17.2

Usage is the NBA's official figure (NBA.com) for this game: out of every 100 team plays while he was on the floor, how many he finished with a shot, a turnover or free throws.

Who guarded whom

Norman Powell guarded Payton Pritchard for 6.1 minutes, over 21 possessions.
In that time, Payton Pritchard scored 0 points and made 0 of 1 shots.
Andrew Wiggins guarded Jaylen Brown for 5.9 minutes, over 24 possessions.
In that time, Jaylen Brown scored 5 points and made 2 of 7 shots.
Bam Adebayo guarded Luka Garza for 5.6 minutes, over 20 possessions.
In that time, Luka Garza scored 0 points and made 0 of 1 shots.

▸See all 21 matchups of two minutes or more

Boston Celtics defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Pritchard	Powell	4.0	23	7 (2/3)
Simons	Jakučionis	3.5	18	3 (1/1)
Queta	Adebayo	3.4	21	7 (3/4)
Garza	Adebayo	3.3	19	6 (2/7)
Hauser	Wiggins	3.2	15	3 (1/2)
Brown	Wiggins	2.9	18	7 (2/5)
White	Larsson	2.8	16	0 (0/0)
Brown	Herro	2.2	10	2 (1/1)
White	Wiggins	2.0	10	2 (0/0)
Simons	Larsson	2.0	12	0 (0/1)

Miami Heat defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Powell	Pritchard	6.1	21	0 (0/1)
Wiggins	Brown	5.9	24	5 (2/7)
Adebayo	Garza	5.6	20	0 (0/1)
Jakučionis	Simons	4.7	19	11 (3/5)
Larsson	White	4.4	20	2 (1/2)

Matchups come from the NBA's tracking (NBA.com) for this game: how long each defender guarded each attacker and what the attacker produced in that time. Only matchups of two minutes or more are shown.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2025-26 regular season, not this game.

Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown recovered 0.8 loose balls per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 13 of 399 in the league.
Neemias Queta contested 7.8 shots per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 24 of 399 in the league.
Derrick White drew 0.10 charges per game over his 77 games.
He ranks 29 of 399 in the league.

Miami Heat

Dru Smith drew 0.18 charges per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 11 of 399 in the league.
Pelle Larsson drew 0.17 charges per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 12 of 399 in the league.
Andrew Wiggins contested 7.6 shots per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 28 of 399 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Miami Heat have won 75 of their 186 games against the Boston Celtics.

75-111record of the Miami Heat · NBA 1988-89 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

0-4in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1988-89 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.700

100.5% of capacity

Kaseya Center · Miami

Scoring

233

combined points

1.8 above the season average (231.2)