SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 16 January 2026

CLE117–115PHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 21 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHI winsCLE wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when CLE does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CLE

Donovan Mitchell
Jaylon Tyson
Evan Mobley
De'Andre Hunter
Lonzo Ball

Mitchell · Tyson · Mobley · Hunter · Ball

Closing lineup · PHI

Tyrese Maxey
VJ Edgecombe
Joel Embiid
Paul George
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Maxey · Edgecombe · Embiid · George · Oubre

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CLE
Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell

39′ · -2

Jaylon Tyson

Jaylon Tyson

38′ · +4

Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley

36′ · -12

Jarrett Allen

Jarrett Allen

33′ · +5

Craig Porter Jr.

Craig Porter Jr.

22′ · +12

De'Andre Hunter

De'Andre Hunter

31′ · +12

Nae'Qwan Tomlin

Nae'Qwan Tomlin

18′ · -7

Lonzo Ball

Lonzo Ball

12′ · -1

Tyrese Proctor

Tyrese Proctor

11′ · -1

PHI
Tyrese Maxey

Tyrese Maxey

39′ · -4

VJ Edgecombe

VJ Edgecombe

35′ · -6

Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid

33′ · +9

Paul George

Paul George

30′ · +9

Dominick Barlow

Dominick Barlow

17′ · +4

Quentin Grimes

Quentin Grimes

32′ · -4

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

26′ · -7

Jabari Walker

Jabari Walker

4′ · -5

Adem Bona

Adem Bona

15′ · -11

Trendon Watford

Trendon Watford

10′ · +5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CLE and PHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Mitchell, Allen, Mobley, Porter, and Tyson played 12.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mitchell, Allen, Hunter, Mobley, and Tyson played 9.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Ball, Mitchell, Hunter, Mobley, and Tomlin played 6.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Maxey, Barlow, Edgecombe, George, and Embiid played 12.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Oubre, Grimes, Bona, Edgecombe, and George played 9.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 6.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Allen, Hunter, Tomlin, Porter, and Tyson played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Allen, Hunter, Porter, Tyson, and Proctor played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Ball, Mitchell, Mobley, Tomlin, and Proctor played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Mitchell, Hunter, Mobley, Tyson, and Proctor played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Mitchell, Allen, Hunter, Porter, and Tyson played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • Mitchell, Mobley, Tomlin, Tyson, and Proctor played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Ball, Allen, Hunter, Tomlin, and Tyson played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Watford, and Embiid played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Walker, and Bona played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Grimes, Maxey, Bona, Edgecombe, and George played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Grimes, Maxey, Watford, George, and Embiid played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Oubre, Maxey, Edgecombe, George, and Embiid played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Grimes, Maxey, Watford, Barlow, and Embiid played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Grimes, Maxey, Barlow, George, and Embiid played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Oubre, Grimes, Maxey, Walker, and Embiid played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Maxey, Watford, Barlow, Edgecombe, and Embiid played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.746
98.7% of capacity
Xfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia
Scoring
232
combined points
0.8 above the season average (231.2)