Win probability changed during the game. · 5 February 2026
It was more exciting than 6% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ORL leads and falls when BKN does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · BKN
Traore · Demin · Powell · Saraf · Wolf
Closing lineup · ORL
Richardson · Penda · Howard · Bitadze · Cain
Nolan Traore
38′ · -11
Egor Demin
32′ · -4
Michael Porter Jr.
32′ · -23
Nic Claxton
29′ · -20
Noah Clowney
22′ · -14
Drake Powell
19′ · -2
Ziaire Williams
17′ · -18
Ben Saraf
16′ · -3
Day'Ron Sharpe
13′ · -6
Danny Wolf
22′ · +1
Desmond Bane
32′ · +20
Paolo Banchero
31′ · +14
Jalen Suggs
29′ · +24
Anthony Black
28′ · +18
Wendell Carter Jr.
22′ · +10
Jase Richardson
23′ · +6
Tristan da Silva
18′ · +12
Moritz Wagner
12′ · +6
Noah Penda
14′ · +1
Jonathan Isaac
8′ · +10
Jett Howard
12′ · -9
Goga Bitadze
6′ · -6
Jamal Cain
6′ · -6
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and ORL.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Brooklyn Nets
Porter, Claxton, Clowney, Traore, and Demin played 18.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Traore, Demin, Wolf, Saraf, and Powell played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Porter, Williams, Sharpe, Saraf, and Powell played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Orlando Magic
Carter, Bane, Suggs, Banchero, and Black played 12.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Bitadze, Cain, Howard, Richardson, and Penda played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Wagner, Bane, Suggs, da Silva, and Penda played 4.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Brooklyn Nets
Williams, Sharpe, Wolf, Saraf, and Powell played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Porter, Claxton, Traore, Demin, and Wolf played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Claxton, Clowney, Traore, Demin, and Wolf played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Porter, Williams, Sharpe, Traore, and Powell played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Porter, Claxton, Williams, Wolf, and Saraf played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Sharpe, Traore, Wolf, and Powell played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Porter, Williams, Sharpe, Wolf, and Saraf played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Sharpe, Traore, Demin, Wolf, and Powell played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Porter, Claxton, Williams, Traore, and Powell played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Orlando Magic
Wagner, Banchero, Black, da Silva, and Richardson played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Carter, Bane, Banchero, Black, and Richardson played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Isaac, Bane, Suggs, da Silva, and Penda played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Carter, Banchero, Black, Howard, and Richardson played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Wagner, Bane, Suggs, da Silva, and Richardson played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Isaac, Bane, Suggs, Banchero, and Howard played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Isaac, Suggs, Banchero, Black, and Richardson played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Carter, Banchero, Black, da Silva, and Richardson played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

