SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 5 February 2026

CHI107–123TOR
Is it worth watching?
Skippable

It was more exciting than 21% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsCHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when CHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHI

Patrick Williams
Guerschon Yabusele
Yuki Kawamura
Lachlan Olbrich
Mac McClung

Williams · Yabusele · Kawamura · Olbrich · McClung

Closing lineup · TOR

Ja'Kobe Walter
Jamison Battle
Alijah Martin
Jonathan Mogbo
A.J. Lawson

Walter · Battle · Martin · Mogbo · Lawson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHI
Jaden Ivey

Jaden Ivey

33′ · -9

Matas Buzelis

Matas Buzelis

33′ · -19

Anfernee Simons

Anfernee Simons

32′ · -10

Isaac Okoro

Isaac Okoro

30′ · -21

Jalen Smith

Jalen Smith

24′ · -6

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

25′ · -7

Guerschon Yabusele

Guerschon Yabusele

33′ · -4

Yuki Kawamura

Yuki Kawamura

12′ · +3

Lachlan Olbrich

Lachlan Olbrich

4′ · 0

Mac McClung

Mac McClung

13′ · -7

TOR
Collin Murray-Boyles

Collin Murray-Boyles

37′ · +20

Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram

35′ · +7

Scottie Barnes

Scottie Barnes

32′ · +10

Immanuel Quickley

Immanuel Quickley

31′ · +14

Ja'Kobe Walter

Ja'Kobe Walter

31′ · +14

Sandro Mamukelashvili

Sandro Mamukelashvili

23′ · +3

Jamal Shead

Jamal Shead

22′ · +7

Gradey Dick

Gradey Dick

12′ · -3

Jamison Battle

Jamison Battle

14′ · +7

Alijah Martin

Alijah Martin

2′ · +1

Jonathan Mogbo

Jonathan Mogbo

0′ · 0

A.J. Lawson

A.J. Lawson

0′ · 0

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and TOR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • Yabusele, Simons, Okoro, Smith, and McClung played 6.4 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Simons, Okoro, Smith, Ivey, and Buzelis played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Yabusele, Simons, Williams, Ivey, and Buzelis played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Toronto Raptors

  • Ingram, Quickley, Barnes, Walter, and Murray-Boyles played 14.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Quickley, Barnes, Walter, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Ingram, Quickley, Mamukelashvili, Walter, and Murray-Boyles played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See every lineup of the game

Chicago Bulls

  • Yabusele, Okoro, McClung, Ivey, and Buzelis played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Yabusele, Williams, Ivey, Buzelis, and Kawamura played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Yabusele, Simons, Williams, Smith, and Ivey played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Yabusele, Okoro, Williams, Ivey, and Kawamura played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Yabusele, Okoro, Williams, Ivey, and Buzelis played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Simons, Okoro, Smith, Buzelis, and Kawamura played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Yabusele, Simons, Smith, Ivey, and Buzelis played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Simons, Okoro, Williams, Smith, and Buzelis played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Yabusele, Williams, McClung, Kawamura, and Olbrich played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Yabusele, Simons, Okoro, Williams, and Ivey played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Simons, Okoro, Smith, McClung, and Buzelis played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Simons, Williams, Ivey, Buzelis, and Olbrich played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Williams, Ivey, Buzelis, Kawamura, and Olbrich played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Toronto Raptors

  • Ingram, Mamukelashvili, Dick, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Ingram, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Dick, and Shead played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Barnes, Mamukelashvili, Dick, Shead, and Battle played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Barnes, Walter, Shead, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Ingram, Quickley, Barnes, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Ingram, Mamukelashvili, Walter, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Ingram, Quickley, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, and Shead played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Ingram, Barnes, Dick, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Ingram, Quickley, Mamukelashvili, Shead, and Murray-Boyles played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Ingram, Quickley, Mamukelashvili, Walter, and Battle played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ingram, Quickley, Barnes, Mamukelashvili, and Walter played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Quickley, Walter, Battle, Murray-Boyles, and Martin played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mamukelashvili, Walter, Shead, Battle, and Murray-Boyles played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.795
94.9% of capacity
Scotiabank Arena · Toronto
Scoring
230
combined points
1.2 below the season average (231.2)