Win probability changed during the game. · 7 February 2026
It was more exciting than 85% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 32 times
- · It stayed close for almost the whole game
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when MEM does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · MEM
Mashack · Jackson · Anderson · Small · Hendricks
Closing lineup · POR
Cissoko · Wesley · Rupert · Yang · Cooke
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
31′ · -16
Jahmai Mashack
30′ · -1
GG Jackson
30′ · -5
Kyle Anderson
27′ · -6
Ty Jerome
20′ · -7
Javon Small
28′ · 0
Walter Clayton Jr.
28′ · 0
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
25′ · +1
Taylor Hendricks
22′ · -1
Donovan Clingan
36′ · +19
Toumani Camara
34′ · +18
Jerami Grant
33′ · +1
Sidy Cissoko
33′ · +6
Jrue Holiday
27′ · +8
Caleb Love
27′ · -3
Vit Krejci
26′ · +3
Blake Wesley
9′ · -11
Rayan Rupert
11′ · -5
Hansen Yang
3′ · -1
Javonte Cooke
0′ · 0
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MEM and POR.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Memphis Grizzlies
Jerome, Jackson, Mashack, Caldwell-Pope, and Anderson played 16.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Hendricks, Prosper, Clayton, Small, and Mashack played 7.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Hendricks, Jackson, Prosper, Clayton, and Small played 7.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Portland Trail Blazers
Cissoko, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 10.2 minutes together.
Krejci, Cissoko, Camara, Clingan, and Holiday played 4.1 minutes together.
Love, Cissoko, Camara, Clingan, and Grant played 4.0 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Portland Trail Blazers lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
▸See every lineup of the game
Memphis Grizzlies
Hendricks, Prosper, Clayton, Small, and Caldwell-Pope played 6.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Jackson, Clayton, Small, Caldwell-Pope, and Anderson played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Jerome, Prosper, Mashack, Caldwell-Pope, and Anderson played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Jackson, Clayton, Small, Mashack, and Anderson played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Portland Trail Blazers
Krejci, Love, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 3.4 minutes together.
Krejci, Wesley, Love, Clingan, and Grant played 3.2 minutes together.
Love, Cissoko, Rupert, Yang, and Grant played 3.1 minutes together.
Krejci, Love, Camara, Clingan, and Holiday played 3.1 minutes together.
Krejci, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 2.7 minutes together.
Krejci, Wesley, Love, Cissoko, and Rupert played 2.3 minutes together.
Krejci, Love, Cissoko, Camara, and Clingan played 1.9 minutes together.
Krejci, Love, Cissoko, Rupert, and Camara played 1.5 minutes together.
Krejci, Wesley, Cissoko, Camara, and Grant played 1.4 minutes together.
Love, Cissoko, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.
Krejci, Cissoko, Rupert, Camara, and Holiday played 1.3 minutes together.
Love, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 1.2 minutes together.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

