SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 23 February 2026

SAC123–114MEM
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 72% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 25 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MEM winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when SAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · SAC

Keegan Murray
Precious Achiuwa
Russell Westbrook
DeMar DeRozan
Daeqwon Plowden

Murray · Achiuwa · Westbrook · DeRozan · Plowden

Closing lineup · MEM

Jaylen Wells
GG Jackson
Cam Spencer
Javon Small
Walter Clayton Jr.

Wells · Jackson · Spencer · Small · Clayton

Q1Q2Q3Q4
SAC
Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray

34′ · +11

Precious Achiuwa

Precious Achiuwa

33′ · +7

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

33′ · +9

DeMar DeRozan

DeMar DeRozan

29′ · +1

Maxime Raynaud

Maxime Raynaud

28′ · +10

Nique Clifford

Nique Clifford

28′ · +2

Daeqwon Plowden

Daeqwon Plowden

26′ · -4

Malik Monk

Malik Monk

19′ · +3

Killian Hayes

Killian Hayes

11′ · +6

MEM
Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

26′ · -7

GG Jackson

GG Jackson

26′ · -12

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

25′ · -12

Cam Spencer

Cam Spencer

22′ · -12

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Scotty Pippen Jr.

22′ · -9

Rayan Rupert

Rayan Rupert

26′ · -5

Taylor Hendricks

Taylor Hendricks

25′ · +3

Javon Small

Javon Small

25′ · -1

Jahmai Mashack

Jahmai Mashack

22′ · +5

Walter Clayton Jr.

Walter Clayton Jr.

21′ · +5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. SAC and MEM.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Sacramento Kings

  • Achiuwa, Murray, Raynaud, Westbrook, and DeRozan played 12.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Monk, Hayes, Achiuwa, Plowden, and Clifford played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Monk, Hayes, Plowden, Clifford, and Raynaud played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Pippen, Jackson, Prosper, Spencer, and Wells played 10.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Pippen, Rupert, Jackson, Prosper, and Spencer played 10.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hendricks, Wells, Clayton, Small, and Mashack played 8.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Sacramento Kings

  • Murray, Clifford, Raynaud, Westbrook, and DeRozan played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Achiuwa, Murray, Plowden, Westbrook, and DeRozan played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Monk, Murray, Clifford, Raynaud, and Westbrook played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Murray, Plowden, Raynaud, Westbrook, and DeRozan played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Monk, Achiuwa, Murray, Plowden, and Clifford played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Achiuwa, Murray, Clifford, Westbrook, and DeRozan played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Monk, Achiuwa, Plowden, Clifford, and DeRozan played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Achiuwa, Murray, Plowden, Clifford, and Westbrook played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Monk, Achiuwa, Plowden, Clifford, and Westbrook played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Hendricks, Rupert, Clayton, Small, and Mashack played 6.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hendricks, Rupert, Wells, Small, and Mashack played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Rupert, Jackson, Prosper, Clayton, and Small played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hendricks, Prosper, Wells, Clayton, and Small played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hendricks, Rupert, Jackson, Spencer, and Mashack played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hendricks, Rupert, Prosper, Clayton, and Small played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Pippen, Hendricks, Rupert, Jackson, and Mashack played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
14.176
79.7% of capacity
FedExForum · Memphis
Scoring
237
combined points
5.8 above the season average (231.2)