Washington Wizards – Miami Heat · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 March 2026

WAS129–150MIA

Is it worth watching?

Skippable

It was more exciting than 3% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIA winsWAS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIA leads and falls when WAS does.

This is how the game was decided.

Bam Adebayo decided it, the Miami Heat player with the most points (83, with 9 rebounds and 3 assists; +20 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

Miami Heat 150-129 Washington Wizards (March 10, 2026) was not decided in the closing minutes: the Miami Heat went ahead for good in the first quarter (6:07 left), with a three-pointer by Bam Adebayo for 16-13, and never gave up the lead.

The biggest run of Miami Heat 150-129 Washington Wizards (March 10, 2026) was a 10-0 run by the Miami Heat in the first quarter (from 3:35 to 2:01), from 26-22 to 36-22. The Washington Wizards' best was a 7-0 run in the third quarter (from 2:40 to 1:21), from 83-109 to 90-109.

With 83 points, this is Bam Adebayo's highest-scoring regular-season game of his career.

What were the keys of the last Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards game?

▸See where these figures come from

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

It is compared by points with all his official NBA box scores in that scope; it is the same criterion the Analyst uses.

This is how the two teams compared in passes and jump shots.

Washington made 273 passes and Miami made 224.
WAS 273224 MIA
Washington made 31 of 63 jump shots and Miami made 18 of 56.
WAS31/63
MIA18/56

Passes come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game: each team's total adds up its players' passes. Jump shots come from ESPN's play-by-play: every field-goal attempt ESPN logs as a jump shot counts, threes included.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · WAS

Riley · Carrington · Coulibaly · Hardy · Gill

Closing lineup · MIA

Jakucionis · Gardner · Johnson · Keels · Goldin

Q1Q2Q3Q4

WAS

Will Riley

40′ · -10

Bub Carrington

36′ · -20

Bilal Coulibaly

35′ · -19

Tre Johnson

23′ · -14

Alex Sarr

20′ · -9

Sharife Cooper

15′ · -2

Tristan Vukcevic

7′ · -11

Jaden Hardy

23′ · -8

Justin Champagnie

18′ · -7

Anthony Gill

25′ · -5

MIA

Bam Adebayo

42′ · +20

Kasparas Jakucionis

30′ · +10

Myron Gardner

26′ · +15

Davion Mitchell

24′ · +16

Pelle Larsson

24′ · +13

Jaime Jaquez Jr.

28′ · +15

Dru Smith

23′ · +7

Simone Fontecchio

22′ · +6

Keshad Johnson

19′ · +7

Trevor Keels

1′ · -2

Vladislav Goldin

1′ · -2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. WAS and MIA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Washington Wizards

Coulibaly, Sarr, Carrington, Johnson, and Riley played 15.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Gill, Hardy, Coulibaly, Carrington, and Riley played 9.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Gill, Cooper, Champagnie, Hardy, and Riley played 6.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Miami Heat

Adebayo, Mitchell, Larsson, Gardner, and Jakucionis played 17.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
Adebayo, Smith, Jaquez, Fontecchio, and Johnson played 9.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Smith, Jaquez, Fontecchio, Larsson, and Johnson played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Washington Wizards

Gill, Cooper, Champagnie, Hardy, and Vukcevic played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Cooper, Coulibaly, Sarr, Carrington, and Riley played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Gill, Champagnie, Carrington, Johnson, and Riley played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Champagnie, Coulibaly, Sarr, Carrington, and Johnson played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Gill, Champagnie, Hardy, Coulibaly, and Riley played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Champagnie, Coulibaly, Vukcevic, Carrington, and Johnson played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Miami Heat

Adebayo, Mitchell, Jaquez, Gardner, and Jakucionis played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Adebayo, Smith, Jaquez, Fontecchio, and Larsson played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Adebayo, Smith, Jaquez, Fontecchio, and Jakucionis played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Adebayo, Mitchell, Jaquez, Fontecchio, and Jakucionis played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Adebayo, Smith, Gardner, Johnson, and Jakucionis played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Adebayo, Smith, Jaquez, Gardner, and Jakucionis played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Adebayo, Mitchell, Jaquez, Fontecchio, and Johnson played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Keels, Gardner, Johnson, Jakucionis, and Goldin played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Bam Adebayo covered 4.31 km, more than anyone in the game.

Bam Adebayo touched the ball 78 times, a game high.
Bub Carrington made 62 passes, a game high.
Bilal Coulibaly defended 6 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 5.

▸See what was measured for each player

Washington Wizards

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Will Riley	4.15	7.3	44	30
Bilal Coulibaly	3.64	7.0	59	45
Bub Carrington	3.35	6.6	77	62
Anthony Gill	3.12	7.5	28	22
Jaden Hardy	3.01	7.3	46	28
Justin Champagnie	2.17	7.7	29	21
Sharife Cooper	2.03	8.1	39	27
Tre Johnson	1.93	7.3	26	11
Alex Sarr	1.72	7.2	36	22
Tristan Vukcevic	0.82	6.9	10	5

Miami Heat

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Bam Adebayo	4.31	6.7	78	16
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	3.38	7.3	59	50
Kasparas Jakučionis	3.22	7.6	27	22
Simone Fontecchio	2.82	7.7	31	22
Dru Smith	2.80	7.5	43

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

This is how each team's plays were shared among its players.

Washington Wizards

Player	Min	Usage (%)
Will Riley	39:35	15.0
Bub Carrington	35:58	17.4
Bilal Coulibaly	34:39	13.8
Anthony Gill	25:08	7.0
Jaden Hardy	23:00	26.2
Tre Johnson	22:38	24.6
Alex Sarr	19:40	39.2
Justin Champagnie	18:00	19.2
Sharife Cooper	14:41	23.3
Tristan Vukcevic	6:41	26.3

Miami Heat

Player	Min	Usage (%)
Bam Adebayo	41:54	55.8
Kasparas Jakučionis	29:45	5.8
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	27:53	6.4
Myron Gardner	25:43	8.1
Pelle Larsson	24:26	14.9
Davion Mitchell	24:06	19.4
Dru Smith	22:46	10.4
Simone Fontecchio	22:17	14.5
Keshad Johnson	18:54	14.5

Usage is the NBA's official figure (NBA.com) for this game: out of every 100 team plays while he was on the floor, how many he finished with a shot, a turnover or free throws.

Who guarded whom

Bam Adebayo guarded Alex Sarr for 6.6 minutes, over 34 possessions.
In that time, Alex Sarr scored 20 points and made 8 of 12 shots.
Alex Sarr guarded Bam Adebayo for 6.1 minutes, over 36 possessions.
In that time, Bam Adebayo scored 27 points and made 10 of 20 shots.
Davion Mitchell guarded Bub Carrington for 5.7 minutes, over 29 possessions.
In that time, Bub Carrington scored 2 points and made 1 of 1 shots.

▸See all 25 matchups of two minutes or more

Washington Wizards defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Sarr	Adebayo	6.1	36	27 (10/20)
Carrington	Mitchell	5.1	32	4 (2/3)
Riley	Jakučionis	4.5	25	0 (0/0)
Coulibaly	Gardner	3.6	24	2 (1/2)
Johnson	Larsson	2.6	16	2 (0/2)
Gill	Adebayo	2.5	20	11 (1/7)
Coulibaly	Adebayo	2.3	15	9 (2/5)
Vukcevic	Adebayo	2.1	16	16 (4/8)

Miami Heat defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Adebayo	Sarr	6.6	34	20 (8/12)
Mitchell	Carrington	5.7	29	2 (1/1)
Jakučionis	Riley	5.2	24	0 (0/0)
Gardner	Coulibaly	4.3	18	4 (1/3)
Adebayo	Gill	4.0	23	2 (1/2)

Matchups come from the NBA's tracking (NBA.com) for this game: how long each defender guarded each attacker and what the attacker produced in that time. Only matchups of two minutes or more are shown.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2025-26 regular season, not this game.

Washington Wizards

Alex Sarr contested 9.4 shots per game over his 48 games.
He ranks 8 of 399 in the league.
Sharife Cooper drew 0.15 charges per game over his 34 games.
He ranks 13 of 399 in the league.
Bilal Coulibaly deflected 3.1 passes per game over his 56 games.
He ranks 22 of 399 in the league.

Miami Heat

Dru Smith drew 0.18 charges per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 11 of 399 in the league.
Pelle Larsson drew 0.17 charges per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 12 of 399 in the league.
Davion Mitchell drew 0.11 charges per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 24 of 399 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Miami Heat have won 108 of their 156 games against the Washington Wizards.

108-48record of the Miami Heat · NBA 1988-89 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

4-0in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1988-89 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.700

100.5% of capacity

Kaseya Center · Miami

Scoring

279

combined points

47.8 above the season average (231.2)