SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 20 March 2026

BOS117–112MEM
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 69% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 22 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MEM winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when BOS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Derrick White
Payton Pritchard
Baylor Scheierman
Hugo Gonzalez
Ron Harper Jr.

White · Pritchard · Scheierman · Gonzalez · Harper

Closing lineup · MEM

Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Javon Small
Tyler Burton
Cam Spencer
Walter Clayton Jr.

Prosper · Small · Burton · Spencer · Clayton

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BOS
Jaylen Brown

Jaylen Brown

38′ · +9

Derrick White

Derrick White

36′ · -2

Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

31′ · -5

Sam Hauser

Sam Hauser

21′ · -6

Neemias Queta

Neemias Queta

18′ · 0

Luka Garza

Luka Garza

27′ · +9

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

32′ · +9

Baylor Scheierman

Baylor Scheierman

23′ · +7

Hugo Gonzalez

Hugo Gonzalez

15′ · +7

Ron Harper Jr.

Ron Harper Jr.

0′ · -3

MEM
Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

31′ · +2

Taylor Hendricks

Taylor Hendricks

29′ · -2

Javon Small

Javon Small

26′ · +16

Ty Jerome

Ty Jerome

25′ · +3

Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

20′ · -2

Tyler Burton

Tyler Burton

32′ · -8

Cam Spencer

Cam Spencer

23′ · -8

DeJon Jarreau

DeJon Jarreau

27′ · -10

Walter Clayton Jr.

Walter Clayton Jr.

27′ · -16

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and MEM.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

  • Brown, Tatum, White, Queta, and Hauser played 11.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Brown, Pritchard, Garza, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 8.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • White, Pritchard, Garza, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 6.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jerome, Hendricks, Prosper, Wells, and Small played 11.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jarreau, Burton, Prosper, Clayton, and Small played 7.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jarreau, Burton, Hendricks, Spencer, and Clayton played 6.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

  • Brown, Tatum, White, Garza, and Scheierman played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Brown, Tatum, White, Queta, and Pritchard played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Tatum, White, Pritchard, Garza, and Hauser played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Brown, Tatum, White, Pritchard, and Scheierman played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brown, Tatum, Pritchard, Garza, and Hauser played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Hauser played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brown, Tatum, Pritchard, Garza, and Scheierman played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jerome, Burton, Hendricks, Spencer, and Wells played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Jarreau, Burton, Prosper, Spencer, and Clayton played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Burton, Prosper, Spencer, Clayton, and Small played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jerome, Jarreau, Prosper, Wells, and Small played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jerome, Jarreau, Burton, Hendricks, and Spencer played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Jerome, Jarreau, Burton, Hendricks, and Clayton played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Burton, Hendricks, Spencer, Clayton, and Small played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jerome, Jarreau, Prosper, Wells, and Clayton played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.048
95.8% of capacity
FedExForum · Memphis
Scoring
229
combined points
2.2 below the season average (231.2)