Win probability changed during the game. · 5 April 2026
It was more exciting than 60% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when PHX does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · PHX
Booker · Green · Brooks · Williams · Gillespie
Closing lineup · CHI
Okoro · Miller · Yabusele · Sexton · Kawamura
Devin Booker
36′ · +3
Jalen Green
36′ · +8
Dillon Brooks
33′ · +10
Mark Williams
26′ · +7
Jordan Goodwin
24′ · 0
Grayson Allen
16′ · +1
Collin Gillespie
24′ · +13
Royce O'Neale
22′ · +5
Oso Ighodaro
22′ · +3
Isaac Okoro
36′ · -3
Leonard Miller
33′ · -10
Guerschon Yabusele
32′ · -12
Collin Sexton
31′ · -10
Tre Jones
31′ · -1
Rob Dillingham
20′ · -4
Lachlan Olbrich
16′ · +2
Patrick Williams
24′ · -11
Yuki Kawamura
6′ · -1
Mac McClung
11′ · 0
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. PHX and CHI.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Phoenix Suns
Booker, Brooks, Green, Goodwin, and Williams played 13.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Booker, Brooks, Allen, Green, and Williams played 6.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Booker, O'Neale, Allen, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Chicago Bulls
Yabusele, Sexton, Okoro, Jones, and Miller played 7.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Okoro, Jones, Miller, Dillingham, and Olbrich played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Yabusele, Sexton, Williams, Miller, and Dillingham played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Phoenix Suns
O'Neale, Brooks, Green, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Booker, Brooks, Green, Williams, and Gillespie played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
O'Neale, Green, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
O'Neale, Brooks, Allen, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
O'Neale, Allen, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Booker, O'Neale, Goodwin, Gillespie, and Ighodaro played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Booker, O'Neale, Brooks, Green, and Williams played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Booker, Allen, Green, Goodwin, and Ighodaro played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Chicago Bulls
Yabusele, Sexton, Okoro, Williams, and McClung played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Yabusele, Sexton, Okoro, Williams, and Dillingham played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Yabusele, Sexton, Okoro, Jones, and McClung played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Yabusele, Williams, Jones, Miller, and Dillingham played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Yabusele, Sexton, Okoro, Miller, and Dillingham played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Okoro, Williams, Jones, McClung, and Olbrich played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Okoro, Jones, McClung, Miller, and Olbrich played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Yabusele, Sexton, Okoro, Williams, and Jones played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Okoro, Williams, Jones, Kawamura, and Olbrich played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Jones, Miller, Kawamura, and Olbrich played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Okoro, Jones, Miller, Kawamura, and Olbrich played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Sexton, Okoro, Miller, Dillingham, and Olbrich played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Yabusele, Sexton, Williams, Jones, and Miller played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

