Win probability changed during the game. · 10 April 2026
It was more exciting than 57% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 22 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when LAC does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · LAC
Sanders · Pedulla · Christie · Omier · Washington
Closing lineup · POR
Cissoko · Youngblood · Wesley · Yang · Kent
Darius Garland
41′ · -2
Kawhi Leonard
37′ · -6
Brook Lopez
36′ · -6
Kris Dunn
27′ · +3
Derrick Jones Jr.
23′ · -2
Jordan Miller
32′ · -22
Bennedict Mathurin
5′ · -8
John Collins
13′ · -18
Kobe Sanders
11′ · -18
Nicolas Batum
5′ · -4
Sean Pedulla
2′ · -3
Cam Christie
2′ · -3
Norchad Omier
2′ · -3
TyTy Washington Jr.
2′ · -3
Deni Avdija
35′ · +9
Toumani Camara
33′ · +2
Jrue Holiday
32′ · +8
Scoot Henderson
31′ · +18
Donovan Clingan
28′ · -9
Matisse Thybulle
18′ · +16
Shaedon Sharpe
15′ · +4
Kris Murray
20′ · +19
Robert Williams III
18′ · +25
Sidy Cissoko
3′ · +1
Chris Youngblood
2′ · +1
Blake Wesley
2′ · +1
Hansen Yang
2′ · +1
Jayson Kent
1′ · -1
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and POR.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
LA Clippers
Dunn, Jones, Garland, Lopez, and Leonard played 13.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Dunn, Garland, Miller, Lopez, and Leonard played 9.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Jones, Garland, Miller, Lopez, and Leonard played 7.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Portland Trail Blazers
Avdija, Henderson, Camara, Clingan, and Holiday played 13.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Thybulle, Avdija, Sharpe, Camara, and Clingan played 8.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Henderson, Sharpe, Murray, and Holiday played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
LA Clippers
Collins, Garland, Miller, Sanders, and Batum played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Collins, Mathurin, Miller, Sanders, and Leonard played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Washington, Omier, Christie, Sanders, and Pedulla played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Dunn, Collins, Garland, Miller, and Lopez played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Collins, Garland, Miller, Sanders, and Lopez played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Dunn, Jones, Miller, Lopez, and Leonard played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Jones, Collins, Garland, Miller, and Batum played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Portland Trail Blazers
Williams, Thybulle, Henderson, Murray, and Holiday played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Avdija, Murray, Camara, Clingan, and Holiday played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Williams, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Holiday played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Thybulle, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Clingan played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Williams, Thybulle, Avdija, Murray, and Holiday played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Wesley, Cissoko, Yang, Youngblood, and Kent played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Avdija, Henderson, Murray, and Camara played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Avdija, Henderson, Murray, Camara, and Clingan played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

