SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 December 2025

POR120–143NOP
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 74% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 47 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ NOP winsPOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NOP leads and falls when POR does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · POR

Sidy Cissoko
Caleb Love
Duop Reath
Rayan Rupert
Javonte Cooke

Cissoko · Love · Reath · Rupert · Cooke

Closing lineup · NOP

Derik Queen
Jeremiah Fears
Micah Peavy
Jordan Hawkins
Karlo Matkovic

Queen · Fears · Peavy · Hawkins · Matkovic

Q1Q2Q3Q4
POR
Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

32′ · -12

Jerami Grant

Jerami Grant

31′ · -32

Kris Murray

Kris Murray

29′ · -11

Toumani Camara

Toumani Camara

28′ · -11

Shaedon Sharpe

Shaedon Sharpe

27′ · -17

Sidy Cissoko

Sidy Cissoko

32′ · -7

Caleb Love

Caleb Love

22′ · -9

Duop Reath

Duop Reath

13′ · -6

Rayan Rupert

Rayan Rupert

24′ · -10

Javonte Cooke

Javonte Cooke

4′ · 0

NOP
Derik Queen

Derik Queen

35′ · +12

Trey Murphy III

Trey Murphy III

31′ · +8

Saddiq Bey

Saddiq Bey

29′ · 0

Jeremiah Fears

Jeremiah Fears

25′ · +11

Herbert Jones

Herbert Jones

14′ · +5

Jordan Poole

Jordan Poole

26′ · +18

Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado

23′ · +12

Bryce McGowens

Bryce McGowens

30′ · +19

Yves Missi

Yves Missi

13′ · +11

Micah Peavy

Micah Peavy

11′ · +15

Jordan Hawkins

Jordan Hawkins

1′ · +2

Karlo Matkovic

Karlo Matkovic

1′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. POR and NOP.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Murray, Camara, and Grant played 8.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Murray, Cissoko, and Camara played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Love, Cissoko, Cooke, Rupert, and Reath played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Bey, Murphy, McGowens, Fears, and Queen played 11.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Bey, Jones, Murphy, Fears, and Queen played 9.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Poole, Bey, Alvarado, McGowens, and Missi played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Love, Cissoko, Rupert, Reath, and Grant played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Cissoko, Camara, and Grant played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Avdija, Love, Murray, Rupert, and Camara played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Avdija, Love, Rupert, Reath, and Grant played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Love, Murray, Cissoko, Rupert, and Grant played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Sharpe, Love, Cissoko, Camara, and Grant played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Avdija, Love, Murray, Cissoko, and Camara played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sharpe, Cissoko, Rupert, Reath, and Grant played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Murray, Rupert, and Grant played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Murray, Cissoko, and Grant played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Avdija, Sharpe, Cissoko, Rupert, and Camara played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Avdija, Murray, Cissoko, Rupert, and Grant played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Avdija, Cissoko, Rupert, Camara, and Grant played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Sharpe, Murray, Cissoko, Rupert, and Camara played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Poole, Alvarado, McGowens, Queen, and Peavy played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Poole, Alvarado, McGowens, Missi, and Peavy played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Poole, Bey, Murphy, Alvarado, and Queen played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Poole, Jones, Alvarado, McGowens, and Missi played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Poole, Murphy, Alvarado, Missi, and Peavy played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Poole, Murphy, McGowens, Fears, and Queen played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Matkovic, Hawkins, Fears, Queen, and Peavy played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Poole, Jones, Alvarado, McGowens, and Queen played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Poole, Jones, Murphy, Alvarado, and Queen played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Poole, Bey, Murphy, Fears, and Queen played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
13.448
79.7% of capacity
Smoothie King Center · New Orleans
Scoring
263
combined points
31.8 above the season average (231.2)