What if…?
Without Collin Murray-Boyles, Toronto Raptors were 3.3 points per game better
57 games with him · 23 without, in 2025-26
3.3
points per game
The question
What would have changed if Collin Murray-Boyles had not played?
The evidence
Without Collin Murray-Boyles, Toronto Raptors were 3.3 points per game better
The fact
What actually happened, game by game, in 2025-26. None of this is an estimate.
With Collin Murray-Boyles in the box score
+1.77 points per game
57 games · 31-26 · 112.8 – 111.1
Without him
+5.09 points per game
23 games · 14-9 · 118.0 – 113.0
The assumptions
What we decided in order to answer. If an assumption does not hold for you, neither does the answer.
- That the 23 games without him represent a whole season without him.
- That opponent quality is spread evenly across both groups. We have not controlled for it.
- That other absences do not systematically coincide with his.
The estimated result
Arithmetic on the two figures above, nothing else: the per-game difference carried over a 82-game season.
- points of margin per game+3.32
- Across 82 games that is +272 points of accumulated margin.
FactDerivedAssumption
What this does not prove
- This does not say he is the cause. A team without its best player also changes rotation, opponent and schedule at the same time.
- It rests on 23 games without him. At that sample size, a couple of odd games move the number.
- It is not a forecast for next season: it is what happened in the one already played.
From here
Where it comes from
Source
2026-04-12
Model input
not stated
Computation
not stated
This answer
2026-10-12
Where this comes from