SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 December 2020

GSW129–128CHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 98% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHI winsGSW wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when GSW does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · GSW

Stephen Curry
Andrew Wiggins
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Kevon Looney
Damion Lee

Curry · Wiggins · Oubre · Looney · Lee

Closing lineup · CHI

Coby White
Zach LaVine
Wendell Carter Jr.
Tomas Satoransky
Chandler Hutchison

White · LaVine · Carter · Satoransky · Hutchison

Q1Q2Q3Q4
GSW
Stephen Curry

Stephen Curry

36′ · +3

Andrew Wiggins

Andrew Wiggins

36′ · +2

Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

30′ · +9

James Wiseman

James Wiseman

23′ · -4

Juan Toscano-Anderson

Juan Toscano-Anderson

19′ · -2

Kevon Looney

Kevon Looney

17′ · +12

Mychal Mulder

Mychal Mulder

11′ · 0

Jordan Poole

Jordan Poole

13′ · -10

Eric Paschall

Eric Paschall

19′ · -13

Damion Lee

Damion Lee

21′ · +11

Brad Wanamaker

Brad Wanamaker

14′ · -3

CHI
Coby White

Coby White

36′ · -7

Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

35′ · -5

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

31′ · -4

Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

29′ · +13

Patrick Williams

Patrick Williams

26′ · +6

Otto Porter Jr.

Otto Porter Jr.

21′ · -2

Garrett Temple

Garrett Temple

19′ · -7

Tomas Satoransky

Tomas Satoransky

23′ · -3

Chandler Hutchison

Chandler Hutchison

19′ · +4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. GSW and CHI.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Golden State Warriors

  • Oubre, Toscano-Anderson, Wiseman, Curry, and Wiggins played 14.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Lee, Paschall, Poole, Wanamaker, and Wiggins played 8.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Looney, Mulder, Paschall, Curry, and Wiggins played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Chicago Bulls

  • Markkanen, Carter, White, Williams, and LaVine played 11.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Markkanen, Hutchison, Temple, Satoransky, and Porter played 5.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Markkanen, Hutchison, White, Satoransky, and Porter played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Golden State Warriors

  • Oubre, Looney, Lee, Curry, and Wiggins played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Oubre, Lee, Toscano-Anderson, Wiseman, and Curry played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Looney, Mulder, Paschall, Poole, and Curry played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Oubre, Paschall, Wiseman, Curry, and Wiggins played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Oubre, Lee, Wiseman, Curry, and Wanamaker played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Looney, Lee, Poole, Wanamaker, and Wiggins played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Oubre, Looney, Mulder, Paschall, and Curry played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Oubre, Looney, Mulder, Toscano-Anderson, and Curry played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Oubre, Lee, Wiseman, Wanamaker, and Wiggins played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Chicago Bulls

  • Markkanen, White, Williams, Temple, and LaVine played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Carter, White, Temple, Porter, and LaVine played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Carter, Hutchison, White, Williams, and LaVine played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Carter, Hutchison, White, Williams, and Satoransky played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Carter, Temple, Satoransky, Porter, and LaVine played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Carter, White, Satoransky, Porter, and LaVine played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Carter, Hutchison, Williams, Satoransky, and LaVine played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Markkanen, Temple, Satoransky, Porter, and LaVine played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Carter, White, Williams, Temple, and LaVine played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
257
combined points
32.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed4 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 00:05.0
Kevon Looney → Wendell Carter Jr.
Looney (GSW) continues to re-establish himself in White's (CHI) path after initial contact and he delivers contact to White that affects his ability to defend.
Turnover: 5 Second Violation · 00:05.0
Warriors → Bulls
Lee (GSW) fails to inbound the ball within five seconds.
Foul: Personal · 00:34.4
Kelly Oubre → Zach LaVine
Oubre Jr. (GSW) moves into LaVine (CHI) and makes body contact that affects his SQBR.
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 00:59.1
Kelly Oubre → Warriors
Oubre Jr. (GSW) is in the paint for longer than three seconds without imminently actively guarding an opponent.