Win probability changed during the game. · 31 January 2021
It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when BKN does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · BKN
Durant · Irving · Harris · Green · Luwawu-Cabarrot
Closing lineup · WAS
Beal · Westbrook · Hachimura · Smith · Bonga
Kevin Durant
38′ · +6
Kyrie Irving
38′ · +3
Bruce Brown
32′ · +3
Joe Harris
32′ · -2
DeAndre Jordan
19′ · +14
Jeff Green
30′ · -19
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
17′ · +4
Landry Shamet
20′ · -7
Reggie Perry
7′ · -11
Tyler Johnson
6′ · -6
Bradley Beal
38′ · -12
Russell Westbrook
35′ · +7
Rui Hachimura
29′ · -2
Robin Lopez
18′ · -13
Deni Avdija
16′ · -9
Davis Bertans
30′ · +3
Garrison Mathews
26′ · +8
Ish Smith
24′ · +24
Alex Len
4′ · -4
Moritz Wagner
21′ · +11
Isaac Bonga
0′ · +2
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and WAS.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Brooklyn Nets
Brown, Durant, Jordan, Irving, and Harris played 13.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.
Brown, Durant, Green, Irving, and Harris played 6.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Shamet, Durant, Green, and Irving played 5.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Washington Wizards
Hachimura, Avdija, Westbrook, Lopez, and Beal played 9.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.
Wagner, Mathews, Westbrook, Smith, and Bertans played 6.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.
Hachimura, Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, and Beal played 6.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Brooklyn Nets
Shamet, Perry, Green, Harris, and Johnson played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Brown, Durant, Jordan, and Irving played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Brown, Shamet, Durant, Green, and Irving played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Brown, Shamet, Green, and Harris played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Shamet, Perry, Green, and Irving played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Durant, Green, Irving, and Harris played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Durant, Green, Jordan, Harris, and Johnson played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Washington Wizards
Mathews, Smith, Bertans, Beal, and Len played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, Bertans, and Beal played 3.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Wagner, Mathews, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Wagner, Hachimura, Mathews, Smith, and Beal played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Wagner, Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, and Smith played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Wagner, Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, and Beal played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Wagner, Mathews, Avdija, Westbrook, and Bertans played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Hachimura, Westbrook, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Wagner, Avdija, Westbrook, Bertans, and Beal played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Wagner, Avdija, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Mathews, Lopez, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Hachimura, Avdija, Lopez, Smith, and Beal played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

