SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 23 February 2021

ATL111–112CLE
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CLE winsATL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CLE leads and falls when ATL does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · ATL

Trae Young
Kevin Huerter
Tony Snell
Danilo Gallinari
Solomon Hill

Young · Huerter · Snell · Gallinari · Hill

Closing lineup · CLE

Darius Garland
Isaac Okoro
Jarrett Allen
Collin Sexton
Lamar Stevens

Garland · Okoro · Allen · Sexton · Stevens

Q1Q2Q3Q4
ATL
Trae Young

Trae Young

38′ · +7

Kevin Huerter

Kevin Huerter

37′ · +21

Clint Capela

Clint Capela

37′ · +17

Tony Snell

Tony Snell

33′ · +12

John Collins

John Collins

13′ · +4

Danilo Gallinari

Danilo Gallinari

23′ · -10

Solomon Hill

Solomon Hill

22′ · -23

Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu

10′ · -10

Rajon Rondo

Rajon Rondo

14′ · -18

Skylar Mays

Skylar Mays

12′ · -5

CLE
Darius Garland

Darius Garland

43′ · +1

Isaac Okoro

Isaac Okoro

37′ · -6

Jarrett Allen

Jarrett Allen

34′ · -5

Collin Sexton

Collin Sexton

34′ · -9

Dean Wade

Dean Wade

21′ · -14

Cedi Osman

Cedi Osman

20′ · +10

Lamar Stevens

Lamar Stevens

16′ · +12

JaVale McGee

JaVale McGee

14′ · +6

Dylan Windler

Dylan Windler

22′ · +10

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. ATL and CLE.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Atlanta Hawks

  • Collins, Huerter, Young, Snell, and Capela played 11.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • Huerter, Young, Gallinari, Snell, and Capela played 10.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 15 points.

  • Huerter, Young, Snell, Hill, and Capela played 4.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Allen, Sexton, Garland, Wade, and Okoro played 19.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 17 points.

  • Osman, Garland, Windler, Stevens, and McGee played 10.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Allen, Sexton, Garland, Windler, and Okoro played 7.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Atlanta Hawks

  • Huerter, Mays, Rondo, Hill, and Capela played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Huerter, Young, Okongwu, Gallinari, and Hill played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Young, Okongwu, Rondo, Gallinari, and Hill played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Okongwu, Mays, Rondo, Gallinari, and Hill played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mays, Rondo, Snell, Hill, and Capela played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Huerter, Young, Gallinari, Hill, and Capela played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Collins, Young, Mays, Snell, and Capela played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • Osman, Allen, Garland, Windler, and Okoro played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Osman, Sexton, Okoro, Stevens, and McGee played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Osman, Sexton, Windler, Okoro, and McGee played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Osman, Allen, Sexton, Okoro, and Stevens played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Allen, Sexton, Garland, Okoro, and Stevens played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Osman, Allen, Garland, Wade, and Okoro played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
2720
14% of capacity
Rocket Arena · Cleveland
Scoring
223
combined points
1.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

20 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors