SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 21 April 2021

MIN125–128SAC
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 74% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 16 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ SAC winsMIN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAC leads and falls when MIN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIN

Karl-Anthony Towns
Jaden McDaniels
Ricky Rubio
D'Angelo Russell
Juancho Hernangomez

Towns · McDaniels · Rubio · Russell · Hernangomez

Closing lineup · SAC

De'Aaron Fox
Harrison Barnes
Maurice Harkless
Tyrese Haliburton
Damian Jones

Fox · Barnes · Harkless · Haliburton · Jones

Q1Q2Q3Q4
MIN
Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

33′ · -21

Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

32′ · -21

Ricky Rubio

Ricky Rubio

29′ · -5

Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

28′ · -3

Josh Okogie

Josh Okogie

24′ · +7

D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

29′ · -6

Juancho Hernangomez

Juancho Hernangomez

19′ · +12

Jarred Vanderbilt

Jarred Vanderbilt

16′ · +14

Jordan McLaughlin

Jordan McLaughlin

6′ · +1

Naz Reid

Naz Reid

24′ · +7

SAC
De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

39′ · +13

Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

38′ · +5

Buddy Hield

Buddy Hield

38′ · +13

Maurice Harkless

Maurice Harkless

26′ · +6

Hassan Whiteside

Hassan Whiteside

13′ · +1

Tyrese Haliburton

Tyrese Haliburton

29′ · -1

Chimezie Metu

Chimezie Metu

13′ · -5

Delon Wright

Delon Wright

15′ · -12

Terence Davis

Terence Davis

7′ · -12

Damian Jones

Damian Jones

22′ · +7

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and SAC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Towns, Okogie, Edwards, McDaniels, and Rubio played 11.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Towns, Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, and Rubio played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Russell, Hernangomez, Vanderbilt, McLaughlin, and Reid played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

Sacramento Kings

  • Hield, Fox, Whiteside, Barnes, and Harkless played 12.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hield, Jones, Fox, Haliburton, and Barnes played 10.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wright, Hield, Jones, Fox, and Harkless played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See every lineup of the game

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Russell, Hernangomez, Okogie, Vanderbilt, and Reid played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Russell, Towns, Edwards, McDaniels, and Rubio played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Russell, Hernangomez, Vanderbilt, Reid, and Rubio played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Russell, Towns, Okogie, Reid, and McDaniels played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Russell, Towns, Okogie, Edwards, and McDaniels played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Russell, Towns, Okogie, McDaniels, and Rubio played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Russell, Towns, Hernangomez, Edwards, and McDaniels played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hernangomez, Vanderbilt, Reid, Edwards, and Rubio played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Russell, Towns, Hernangomez, Vanderbilt, and McLaughlin played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Sacramento Kings

  • Hield, Metu, Davis, Haliburton, and Harkless played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Wright, Fox, Metu, Haliburton, and Barnes played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Wright, Metu, Davis, Haliburton, and Barnes played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Wright, Jones, Fox, Haliburton, and Barnes played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hield, Jones, Fox, Barnes, and Harkless played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hield, Fox, Metu, Haliburton, and Harkless played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hield, Fox, Metu, Haliburton, and Barnes played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Wright, Hield, Jones, Haliburton, and Barnes played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
253
combined points
28.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

20 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors