Win probability changed during the game. · 15 January 2022
It was more exciting than 81% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BOS leads and falls when CHI does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CHI
Dosunmu · White · DeRozan · Vucevic · Thomas
Closing lineup · BOS
Tatum · Schroder · Brown · Williams · Richardson
Ayo Dosunmu
40′ · -6
Coby White
39′ · -7
DeMar DeRozan
37′ · +11
Nikola Vucevic
35′ · -10
Alfonzo McKinnie
27′ · -8
Matt Thomas
17′ · +5
Troy Brown Jr.
13′ · -2
Tony Bradley
13′ · +8
Malcolm Hill
18′ · -3
Jayson Tatum
40′ · +11
Dennis Schroder
36′ · +14
Jaylen Brown
36′ · 0
Robert Williams III
35′ · +9
Al Horford
30′ · -1
Josh Richardson
29′ · -6
Grant Williams
14′ · -3
Enes Freedom
8′ · -2
Payton Pritchard
12′ · -12
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and BOS.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Chicago Bulls
McKinnie, White, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 18.2 minutes together.
Bradley, White, Thomas, Hill, and DeRozan played 5.9 minutes together.
McKinnie, White, Dosunmu, Hill, and Vucevic played 4.6 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Chicago Bulls lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Boston Celtics
Brown, Tatum, Williams, Horford, and Schroder played 19.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Richardson, Brown, Tatum, Williams, and Schroder played 6.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Richardson, Brown, Williams, Pritchard, and Freedom played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Chicago Bulls
White, Dosunmu, Hill, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 4.3 minutes together.
Bradley, Brown, Thomas, Dosunmu, and DeRozan played 4.0 minutes together.
Brown, White, Dosunmu, DeRozan, and Vucevic played 2.5 minutes together.
Brown, Thomas, Dosunmu, Hill, and Vucevic played 2.3 minutes together.
McKinnie, Brown, White, Thomas, and Vucevic played 1.8 minutes together.
McKinnie, Bradley, Brown, Thomas, and Dosunmu played 1.5 minutes together.
McKinnie, Bradley, White, Dosunmu, and DeRozan played 1.1 minutes together.
Boston Celtics
Richardson, Brown, Williams, Horford, and Schroder played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Pritchard, and Horford played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Williams, and Schroder played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Horford, and Schroder played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Pritchard, and Freedom played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Richardson, Tatum, Williams, Freedom, and Schroder played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Richardson, Brown, Tatum, Pritchard, and Horford played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

