SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 26 April 2022

MIN109–111MEM
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 96% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MEM winsMIN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when MIN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIN

Karl-Anthony Towns
Anthony Edwards
Jarred Vanderbilt
Jaden McDaniels
Jordan McLaughlin

Towns · Edwards · Vanderbilt · McDaniels · McLaughlin

Closing lineup · MEM

Ja Morant
Desmond Bane
Dillon Brooks
Kyle Anderson
Tyus Jones

Morant · Bane · Brooks · Anderson · Jones

Q1Q2Q3Q4
MIN
D'Angelo Russell

D'Angelo Russell

39′ · -5

Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns

35′ · -3

Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

35′ · -2

Patrick Beverley

Patrick Beverley

28′ · +1

Jarred Vanderbilt

Jarred Vanderbilt

22′ · -10

Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

18′ · +11

Malik Beasley

Malik Beasley

14′ · -1

Naz Reid

Naz Reid

13′ · +1

Jordan McLaughlin

Jordan McLaughlin

17′ · 0

Taurean Prince

Taurean Prince

19′ · -6

MEM
Ja Morant

Ja Morant

45′ · +6

Desmond Bane

Desmond Bane

45′ · +3

Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks

36′ · +8

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

18′ · -2

Xavier Tillman

Xavier Tillman

16′ · -6

Brandon Clarke

Brandon Clarke

37′ · 0

Kyle Anderson

Kyle Anderson

18′ · -6

Ziaire Williams

Ziaire Williams

4′ · 0

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

20′ · +12

John Konchar

John Konchar

3′ · -5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIN and MEM.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Russell, Towns, Vanderbilt, Edwards, and Beverley played 14.8 minutes together.

  • Russell, Towns, Edwards, McDaniels, and Beverley played 7.1 minutes together.

  • Beasley, Prince, McLaughlin, Reid, and Beverley played 4.8 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Minnesota Timberwolves lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Tillman, and Bane played 8.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Brooks, Morant, Clarke, and Bane played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 14 points.

  • Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Bane, and Anderson played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Russell, Towns, Prince, Vanderbilt, and McLaughlin played 3.8 minutes together.

  • Russell, Prince, McLaughlin, Reid, and Edwards played 2.2 minutes together.

  • Russell, Towns, McLaughlin, Edwards, and McDaniels played 2.0 minutes together.

  • Russell, Beasley, Reid, Edwards, and McDaniels played 1.9 minutes together.

  • Beasley, McLaughlin, Reid, Edwards, and McDaniels played 1.6 minutes together.

  • Russell, Beasley, Prince, Reid, and Edwards played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Russell, Towns, Prince, Vanderbilt, and Edwards played 1.2 minutes together.

  • Towns, Beasley, Prince, McLaughlin, and McDaniels played 1.2 minutes together.

  • Beasley, Prince, McLaughlin, Reid, and McDaniels played 1.2 minutes together.

  • Russell, Towns, Vanderbilt, Edwards, and McDaniels played 1.1 minutes together.

  • Russell, Towns, Beasley, Prince, and McDaniels played 1.1 minutes together.

  • Russell, Towns, Prince, Vanderbilt, and Beverley played 1.0 minutes together.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jones, Morant, Clarke, Bane, and Anderson played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Tillman, and Bane played 4.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Bane played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Williams, and Anderson played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Bane played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jones, Jackson, Clarke, Konchar, and Bane played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Morant, Tillman, Bane, and Anderson played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.794
100% of capacity
FedExForum · Memphis
Series
Game 5
First round
MEM 4-2
Scoring
220
combined points
7.4 above the season average (212.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

10 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors