SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 16 December 2022

BKN119–116TOR
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 83% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsBKN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when BKN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BKN

Kevin Durant
Kyrie Irving
Ben Simmons
Joe Harris
Yuta Watanabe

Durant · Irving · Simmons · Harris · Watanabe

Closing lineup · TOR

Fred VanVleet
Juancho Hernangomez
Scottie Barnes
Pascal Siakam
Malachi Flynn

VanVleet · Hernangomez · Barnes · Siakam · Flynn

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BKN
Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

37′ · +9

Kyrie Irving

Kyrie Irving

35′ · +2

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

32′ · -4

Ben Simmons

Ben Simmons

32′ · +7

Nic Claxton

Nic Claxton

26′ · -2

Joe Harris

Joe Harris

23′ · -4

T.J. Warren

T.J. Warren

17′ · +3

Yuta Watanabe

Yuta Watanabe

21′ · +12

Edmond Sumner

Edmond Sumner

4′ · -6

Seth Curry

Seth Curry

7′ · -6

Cam Thomas

Cam Thomas

5′ · +4

TOR
Fred VanVleet

Fred VanVleet

43′ · -1

Juancho Hernangomez

Juancho Hernangomez

41′ · -1

Scottie Barnes

Scottie Barnes

40′ · -7

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

37′ · -9

Christian Koloko

Christian Koloko

21′ · +6

Chris Boucher

Chris Boucher

16′ · -5

Malachi Flynn

Malachi Flynn

28′ · +3

Thaddeus Young

Thaddeus Young

14′ · -1

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and TOR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Brooklyn Nets

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Claxton, Durant, and Irving played 13.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Simmons, Watanabe, Thomas, Durant, and Warren played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Irving, Curry, and Harris played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Toronto Raptors

  • Siakam, Hernangomez, VanVleet, Barnes, and Koloko played 14.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Siakam, Hernangomez, VanVleet, Flynn, and Barnes played 7.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hernangomez, VanVleet, Flynn, Barnes, and Young played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See every lineup of the game

Brooklyn Nets

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Durant, Irving, and Warren played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Sumner, Watanabe, Durant, Harris, and Warren played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Watanabe, Claxton, Durant, Harris, and Warren played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Watanabe, Durant, and Irving played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Watanabe, Claxton, Durant, Irving, and Harris played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • O'Neale, Watanabe, Claxton, Irving, and Harris played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Claxton, Durant, Irving, Harris, and Warren played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • O'Neale, Sumner, Claxton, Curry, and Harris played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • O'Neale, Claxton, Irving, Curry, and Harris played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Watanabe, Irving, and Harris played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Irving, Harris, and Warren played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • O'Neale, Simmons, Durant, Irving, and Harris played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • O'Neale, Watanabe, Durant, Irving, and Harris played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Simmons, Watanabe, Claxton, Durant, and Irving played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Toronto Raptors

  • Siakam, Hernangomez, VanVleet, Boucher, and Barnes played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Siakam, Hernangomez, VanVleet, Flynn, and Koloko played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Siakam, Boucher, Flynn, Barnes, and Young played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • VanVleet, Boucher, Flynn, Barnes, and Young played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Hernangomez, Boucher, Flynn, and Young played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hernangomez, VanVleet, Flynn, Barnes, and Koloko played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Siakam, VanVleet, Boucher, Flynn, and Barnes played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Siakam, Hernangomez, VanVleet, Boucher, and Koloko played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hernangomez, VanVleet, Boucher, Flynn, and Young played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
19.800
100% of capacity
Scotiabank Arena · Toronto
Scoring
235
combined points
5.6 above the season average (229.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

31 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 01:13.3
Fred VanVleet → Kevin Durant
VanVleet (TOR) initiates contact with Durant's (BKN) right forearm during his upward shooting motion and affects Durant's jump shot attempt.