SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 3 March 2026

MEM110–117MIN
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 59% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 22 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIN winsMEM wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIN leads and falls when MEM does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MEM

GG Jackson
Rayan Rupert
Walter Clayton Jr.
Cam Spencer
Cedric Coward

Jackson · Rupert · Clayton · Spencer · Coward

Closing lineup · MIN

Anthony Edwards
Julius Randle
Jaden McDaniels
Ayo Dosunmu
Kyle Anderson

Edwards · Randle · McDaniels · Dosunmu · Anderson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
MEM
Jaylen Wells

Jaylen Wells

28′ · -10

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

Olivier-Maxence Prosper

24′ · -16

Ty Jerome

Ty Jerome

24′ · -16

Scotty Pippen Jr.

Scotty Pippen Jr.

24′ · -16

GG Jackson

GG Jackson

23′ · -3

Rayan Rupert

Rayan Rupert

25′ · -5

Walter Clayton Jr.

Walter Clayton Jr.

24′ · +9

Taylor Hendricks

Taylor Hendricks

24′ · +10

Cam Spencer

Cam Spencer

24′ · +8

Cedric Coward

Cedric Coward

21′ · +4

MIN
Anthony Edwards

Anthony Edwards

37′ · +13

Julius Randle

Julius Randle

36′ · +1

Jaden McDaniels

Jaden McDaniels

32′ · +5

Donte DiVincenzo

Donte DiVincenzo

30′ · +21

Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert

26′ · +4

Ayo Dosunmu

Ayo Dosunmu

29′ · -4

Naz Reid

Naz Reid

23′ · +2

Bones Hyland

Bones Hyland

12′ · -2

Kyle Anderson

Kyle Anderson

14′ · -5

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MEM and MIN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jerome, Pippen, Jackson, Prosper, and Wells played 20.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Hendricks, Rupert, Spencer, Clayton, and Coward played 17.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Jerome, Pippen, Rupert, Prosper, and Wells played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • DiVincenzo, Edwards, McDaniels, Gobert, and Randle played 17.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • Reid, Dosunmu, Hyland, Anderson, and Randle played 6.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, and Dosunmu played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Hendricks, Rupert, Spencer, Wells, and Clayton played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Hendricks, Jackson, Spencer, Clayton, and Coward played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • DiVincenzo, Reid, Edwards, Dosunmu, and Randle played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Edwards, McDaniels, Dosunmu, Gobert, and Randle played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Edwards, McDaniels, Dosunmu, and Randle played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Reid, Dosunmu, Hyland, Gobert, and Anderson played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Reid, Edwards, Dosunmu, Hyland, and Gobert played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, and Anderson played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Reid, Edwards, McDaniels, Dosunmu, and Randle played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • DiVincenzo, Edwards, Dosunmu, Anderson, and Randle played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.416
96.6% of capacity
Target Center · Minneapolis
Scoring
227
combined points
4.2 below the season average (231.2)