Similar profiles
Alex Condon
PF/C · Florida
Perimeter scorer
What college players who played like him went on to do · NCAA 2026 (34 games, 30.5 min)
Outlook computed on 13 Sept 2026 · Draft 2027
NBA reach history
7 / 30 — Of the 30 college players who genuinely resembled him, 7 reached the NBAUncommon profile: fewer than 30 analogs fall inside the threshold, so the cohort was filled with the nearest ones even though they resemble him less.
Similar profiles
He doesn't resemble anyone closely enough: his comps sit farther away than in 90% of cases. We show the gap, not a weak range.
Style comps
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Similarity of STYLE, not of quality: it measures how someone plays, not who is better. Every career in the cohort actually happened — it describes what became of similar profiles, and is not a forecast about this player.
Back-tested on 3,259 college players judged without looking at anything after their season. The reach history SEPARATES (AUC 0.71) — but mostly it tells "looks like an NBA player" from "doesn't": within each quintile AUC drops to 0.51-0.61, and among Draft Combine invitees to 0.50. The ordering of careers within the cohort does NOT hold (Spearman 0.10). It is a record, not a forecast.
Method: per-40-minute production and shot profile, standardized within his own season; Euclidean distance against 26.550 college seasons from 2005-2021 with a known NBA outcome. No language model in any decision.