Similar profiles
Billy Richmond III
SG/SF · Arkansas
Rotation wing
What college players who played like him went on to do · NCAA 2026 (37 games, 27.6 min)
Outlook computed on 13 Sept 2026 · Draft 2027
NBA reach history
6 / 77 — Of the 77 college players who genuinely resembled him, 6 reached the NBAWhat became of them
Distant comps · 25 NBA analogs · median distance 2.285
Style comps
What do they share? scores efficiently
What do they share? no shared standout trait
What do they share? barely shoots threes
Similarity of STYLE, not of quality: it measures how someone plays, not who is better. Every career in the cohort actually happened — it describes what became of similar profiles, and is not a forecast about this player.
Back-tested on 3,259 college players judged without looking at anything after their season. The reach history SEPARATES (AUC 0.71) — but mostly it tells "looks like an NBA player" from "doesn't": within each quintile AUC drops to 0.51-0.61, and among Draft Combine invitees to 0.50. The ordering of careers within the cohort does NOT hold (Spearman 0.10). It is a record, not a forecast.
Method: per-40-minute production and shot profile, standardized within his own season; Euclidean distance against 26.550 college seasons from 2005-2021 with a known NBA outcome. No language model in any decision.