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Milan Momcilovic

Similar profiles

Milan Momcilovic

SF/PF · Kentucky

Three-point specialist

What college players who played like him went on to do · NCAA 2026 (37 games, 30.4 min) · data from Iowa State Cyclones

Outlook computed on 13 Sept 2026 · Draft 2027

NBA reach history

10 / 76 — Of the 76 college players who genuinely resembled him, 10 reached the NBA

What became of them

Highest career in the cohort
Duncan Robinson
NCAA 2016 · undrafted
8 seasons · 500 games · peak 31.4 min / 13.1 pts
Median career in the cohort
Troy Daniels
NCAA 2013 · undrafted
7 seasons · 339 games · peak 20.5 min / 8.9 pts
Lower quartile of the cohort
Blake Ahearn
NCAA 2007 · undrafted
3 seasons · 19 games

Distant comps · 25 NBA analogs · median distance 2.299

Style comps

John Jenkins
Closeness: High · d 0.982
NCAA 2010 · pick #23 in 2012 · 6 seasons, 171 games

What do they share? connects from three · scores efficiently · lives off the three · scores heavily for his minutes

Bryn Forbes
Closeness: High · d 1.193
NCAA 2016 · undrafted · 7 seasons, 431 games

What do they share? connects from three · scores efficiently · scores heavily for his minutes · lives off the three

Seth Curry
Closeness: Low · d 1.742
NCAA 2013 · undrafted · 12 seasons, 560 games

What do they share? scores heavily for his minutes · the offense runs through him · doesn't crash the offensive glass · light on the glass

Similarity of STYLE, not of quality: it measures how someone plays, not who is better. Every career in the cohort actually happened — it describes what became of similar profiles, and is not a forecast about this player.

Back-tested on 3,259 college players judged without looking at anything after their season. The reach history SEPARATES (AUC 0.71) — but mostly it tells "looks like an NBA player" from "doesn't": within each quintile AUC drops to 0.51-0.61, and among Draft Combine invitees to 0.50. The ordering of careers within the cohort does NOT hold (Spearman 0.10). It is a record, not a forecast.

Method: per-40-minute production and shot profile, standardized within his own season; Euclidean distance against 26.550 college seasons from 2005-2021 with a known NBA outcome. No language model in any decision.

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