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Motiejus Krivas

Similar profiles

Motiejus Krivas

C · Arizona · Lithuania

Rim-protecting big

What college players who played like him went on to do · NCAA 2026 (39 games, 25.2 min)

Outlook computed on 13 Sept 2026 · Draft 2027

NBA reach history

17 / 79 — Of the 79 college players who genuinely resembled him, 17 reached the NBA

What became of them

Highest career in the cohort
Al Horford
NCAA 2007 · pick #3 in 2007
19 seasons · 1183 games · peak 37.3 min / 17.4 pts
Median career in the cohort
Khem Birch
NCAA 2013 · undrafted
6 seasons · 282 games · peak 22.9 min / 7.2 pts
Lower quartile of the cohort
Eric Moreland
NCAA 2013 · undrafted
4 seasons · 83 games · peak 12 min / 2.1 pts

Typical comps · 25 NBA analogs · median distance 2.097

Style comps

Taj Gibson
Closeness: Low · d 1.688
NCAA 2009 · pick #26 in 2009 · 17 seasons, 1012 games

What do they share? protects the rim · scores efficiently · barely shoots threes

Xavier Tillman
Closeness: Low · d 1.767
NCAA 2019 · pick #35 in 2020 · 6 seasons, 290 games

What do they share? protects the rim · rebounds like a big · scores efficiently · barely shoots threes

Donta Hall
Closeness: Low · d 1.775
NCAA 2019 · undrafted · 2 seasons, 22 games

What do they share? rebounds like a big · attacks the offensive glass · gets to the foul line · scores efficiently

Similarity of STYLE, not of quality: it measures how someone plays, not who is better. Every career in the cohort actually happened — it describes what became of similar profiles, and is not a forecast about this player.

Back-tested on 3,259 college players judged without looking at anything after their season. The reach history SEPARATES (AUC 0.71) — but mostly it tells "looks like an NBA player" from "doesn't": within each quintile AUC drops to 0.51-0.61, and among Draft Combine invitees to 0.50. The ordering of careers within the cohort does NOT hold (Spearman 0.10). It is a record, not a forecast.

Method: per-40-minute production and shot profile, standardized within his own season; Euclidean distance against 26.550 college seasons from 2005-2021 with a known NBA outcome. No language model in any decision.

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