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Neoklis Avdalas

Similar profiles

Neoklis Avdalas

SG/SF · North Carolina

Playmaking wing

What college players who played like him went on to do · NCAA 2026 (31 games, 31.7 min) · data from Virginia Tech Hokies

Outlook computed on 13 Sept 2026 · Draft 2027

NBA reach history

15 / 251 — Of the 251 college players who genuinely resembled him, 15 reached the NBA

What became of them

Highest career in the cohort
Deron Williams
NCAA 2005 · pick #3 in 2005
12 seasons · 845 games · peak 37.8 min / 20.1 pts
Median career in the cohort
Keifer Sykes
NCAA 2012 · undrafted
1 seasons · 32 games · peak 17.8 min / 5.6 pts
Lower quartile of the cohort
Billy Garrett
NCAA 2016 · undrafted
1 seasons · 4 games

Typical comps · 25 NBA analogs · median distance 2.104

Style comps

Marquis Teague
Closeness: Medium · d 1.46
NCAA 2012 · pick #29 in 2012 · 3 seasons, 91 games

What do they share? creates for others · doesn't crash the offensive glass · light on the glass

Gal Mekel
Closeness: Medium · d 1.494
NCAA 2008 · undrafted · 2 seasons, 35 games

What do they share? creates for others · few hands in passing lanes · doesn't crash the offensive glass · inefficient scoring

Jerian Grant
Closeness: Low · d 1.571
NCAA 2013 · pick #19 in 2015 · 5 seasons, 279 games

What do they share? creates for others · doesn't crash the offensive glass · light on the glass

Similarity of STYLE, not of quality: it measures how someone plays, not who is better. Every career in the cohort actually happened — it describes what became of similar profiles, and is not a forecast about this player.

Back-tested on 3,259 college players judged without looking at anything after their season. The reach history SEPARATES (AUC 0.71) — but mostly it tells "looks like an NBA player" from "doesn't": within each quintile AUC drops to 0.51-0.61, and among Draft Combine invitees to 0.50. The ordering of careers within the cohort does NOT hold (Spearman 0.10). It is a record, not a forecast.

Method: per-40-minute production and shot profile, standardized within his own season; Euclidean distance against 26.550 college seasons from 2005-2021 with a known NBA outcome. No language model in any decision.

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