SportiveWorld
Patrick Ngongba II

Similar profiles

Patrick Ngongba II

C · Duke

Classic power forward

What college players who played like him went on to do · NCAA 2026 (32 games, 21.9 min)

Outlook computed on 13 Sept 2026 · Draft 2027

NBA reach history

21 / 101 — Of the 101 college players who genuinely resembled him, 21 reached the NBA

What became of them

Highest career in the cohort
Al Horford
NCAA 2007 · pick #3 in 2007
19 seasons · 1183 games · peak 37.3 min / 17.4 pts
Median career in the cohort
Quincy Acy
NCAA 2012 · pick #37 in 2012
7 seasons · 337 games · peak 19.5 min / 5.9 pts
Lower quartile of the cohort
Brandon Davies
NCAA 2011 · undrafted
2 seasons · 78 games · peak 15.7 min / 5.3 pts

Typical comps · 25 NBA analogs · median distance 2.03

Style comps

Markieff Morris
Closeness: High · d 1.201
NCAA 2010 · pick #13 in 2011 · 14 seasons, 791 games

What do they share? protects the rim · rebounds like a big · attacks the offensive glass · scores efficiently

Mason Plumlee
Closeness: Low · d 1.605
NCAA 2013 · pick #22 in 2013 · 13 seasons, 880 games

What do they share? gets to the foul line · scores efficiently · rebounds like a big · protects the rim

Jeff Foote
Closeness: Low · d 1.787
NCAA 2008 · undrafted · 1 seasons, 4 games

What do they share? gets to the foul line · protects the rim · rebounds like a big · attacks the offensive glass

Similarity of STYLE, not of quality: it measures how someone plays, not who is better. Every career in the cohort actually happened — it describes what became of similar profiles, and is not a forecast about this player.

Back-tested on 3,259 college players judged without looking at anything after their season. The reach history SEPARATES (AUC 0.71) — but mostly it tells "looks like an NBA player" from "doesn't": within each quintile AUC drops to 0.51-0.61, and among Draft Combine invitees to 0.50. The ordering of careers within the cohort does NOT hold (Spearman 0.10). It is a record, not a forecast.

Method: per-40-minute production and shot profile, standardized within his own season; Euclidean distance against 26.550 college seasons from 2005-2021 with a known NBA outcome. No language model in any decision.

← Big Board