What if…?
Without Koby Brea, Phoenix Suns were 4.4 points per game better
12 games with him · 64 without, in 2025-26
4.4
points per game
Confidence: lowData through: 2025-26
The question
What would have changed if Koby Brea had not played?
The evidence
Without Koby Brea, Phoenix Suns were 4.4 points per game better
2.64 points per gamecompared against: -1.75 points per game (+4.39 · +251 %) · With Koby Brea in the box score
The fact
What actually happened, game by game, in 2025-26. None of this is an estimate.
With Koby Brea in the box score
-1.75 points per game
12 games · 5-7 · 109.5 – 111.3
Without him
+2.64 points per game
64 games · 38-26 · 112.8 – 110.2
The assumptions
What we decided in order to answer. If an assumption does not hold for you, neither does the answer.
- That the 64 games without him represent a whole season without him.
- That opponent quality is spread evenly across both groups. We have not controlled for it.
- That other absences do not systematically coincide with his.
The estimated result
Arithmetic on the two figures above, nothing else: the per-game difference carried over a 82-game season.
- points of margin per game+4.39
- Across 82 games that is +360 points of accumulated margin.
FactDerivedAssumption
What this does not prove
- This does not say he is the cause. A team without its best player also changes rotation, opponent and schedule at the same time.
- It rests on 64 games without him. At that sample size, a couple of odd games move the number.
- It is not a forecast for next season: it is what happened in the one already played.
From here
Where it comes from
Source
2026-04-12
Model input
not stated
Computation
not stated
This answer
2026-11-04
Where this comes from
Box scores · closed season · its clock is the seasonGame results · closed season · its clock is the season
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