What if…?
Without Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Memphis Grizzlies were 9.7 points per game worse
51 games with him · 2 without, in 2025-26
-9.7
points per game
The question
What would have changed if Kentavious Caldwell-Pope had not played?
This answer is not published
- The evidence does not support what would be claimed.
The evidence
Without Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Memphis Grizzlies were 9.7 points per game worse
The claim goes unshown because something specific is missing:
- · The sample is too small to hold it up.2 partidos — el umbral de esta unidad es 10
The fact
What actually happened, game by game, in 2025-26. None of this is an estimate.
With Kentavious Caldwell-Pope in the box score
-1.84 points per game
51 games · 20-31 · 114.9 – 116.7
Without him
-11.50 points per game
2 games · 0-2 · 125.5 – 137.0
The assumptions
What we decided in order to answer. If an assumption does not hold for you, neither does the answer.
- That the 2 games without him represent a whole season without him.
- That opponent quality is spread evenly across both groups. We have not controlled for it.
- That other absences do not systematically coincide with his.
The estimated result
Arithmetic on the two figures above, nothing else: the per-game difference carried over a 82-game season.
- points of margin per game-9.66
- Across 82 games that is -792 points of accumulated margin.
FactDerivedAssumption
What this does not prove
- This does not say he is the cause. A team without its best player also changes rotation, opponent and schedule at the same time.
- It rests on 2 games without him. At that sample size, a couple of odd games move the number.
- It is not a forecast for next season: it is what happened in the one already played.
From here
Where it comes from
Source
2026-02-11
Model input
not stated
Computation
not stated
This answer
2026-10-13
Where this comes from