SportiveWorldSportiveWorld

A SportiveWorld original index

The exchange rate
between leagues

Luka Dončić was asked whether it is easier to score in the EuroLeague or in the NBA. He answered from memory, like everyone does. We measured it across 2,608 seasons of players who actually made the move.

First, the thing that looks contradictory

A lot more gets scored in the NBA. An NBA team puts up 114 points a game and a EuroLeague team 84: thirty more. Even per minute — because the game lasts 48 and not 40 — the NBA scores 13% more.

114.1

NBA · 48

2.38 per minute

84.0

EuroLiga · 40

2.10 per minute

82.7

Liga Endesa · 40

2.07 per minute

77.0

Primera FEB · 40

1.93 per minute

And even so, the same player's production shrinks when he arrives. So what goes down is not what the league scores: it is his slice of the pie. The pie is bigger and his slice considerably smaller — because the opponents are better and because almost nobody arrives in the NBA to be what he was in Europe.

What it costs to score after changing league

Points per minute. Below 1, it costs more in the destination league; above, less.

FromToFactorDifferenceHis slicePlayers
G LeagueNBA0.660−34%0.638326
Liga EndesaNBA0.725−28%0.63099
G LeagueEuroLeague0.735−26%0.80559
EuroLeagueNBA0.752−25%0.66390
EuroCupNBA0.752−25%0.64719
NCAANBA0.789−21%0.629364
G LeagueLiga Endesa0.840−16%0.93454
EuroCupEuroLeague0.877−12%0.85653
Primera FEBLiga Endesa0.884−12%26
G LeagueEuroCup0.922−8%1.03528
Liga EndesaEuroLeague0.974−3%0.961324
EuroCupLiga Endesa0.979−2%0.97035
Liga EndesaEuroCup1.021+2%1.03129
EuroLeagueLiga Endesa1.030+3%1.045296
EuroLeagueEuroCup1.071+7%1.09838
NCAAG League1.117+12%0.923255
Liga EndesaG League1.208+21%1.08722
Liga EndesaPrimera FEB1.210+21%14
NBAEuroLeague1.268+27%1.437128
EuroLeagueG League1.280+28%1.16920
NBALiga Endesa1.425+43%1.63992
NBAEuroCup1.473+47%1.71014
NBAG League1.627+63%1.683248

And it does not cost the same at every position

From Liga Endesa to the NBA, split by where he plays. Small samples — between twelve and twenty-two players per position — so read it as a hint, not a law.

Wings

0.841

22 players

Guards

0.706

14 players

Bigs

0.687

12 players

Scores less, rebounds the same… and assists more

The same move, from Liga Endesa to the NBA, told through the three stats: they do not fall together, and that is the interesting part.

Points

0.725

Fewer shots and better opponents

Rebounds

0.963

Practically the same

Assists

1.165

It rises — and not because he passes better

That assists rise by 17% on arriving in the NBA does not mean the player suddenly passes better. It means that over there they credit as an assist what Europe does not: the criterion is more generous. It is a warning for anyone comparing assists between the two leagues without thinking — and, incidentally, the best proof that these factors measure something real: if they were noise, the three stats would move alike.

How it is calculated

What this number is not

It is not a prediction about anyone in particular. It is the average behaviour of those who already made that move. A player can land far below or far above: that is why every figure carries alongside it the range where the middle half of the cases fell.